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Is Bush going to Win?

 
  

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FinderWolf
14:09 / 08.10.04
on the reports that Iraq DEFINITELY had no, not even a trace of, WMDs...

from a news article today:

>> For his part, Cheney dismissed the significance of Duelfer's central findings, telling supporters in Miami, "The headlines all say `no weapons of mass destruction stockpiled in Baghdad.' We already knew that."

REALLY???
 
 
FinderWolf
17:25 / 08.10.04
This looks good for the anti-Bush camp:

>> WASHINGTON - In spite of denials by the Bush administration, half of young Americans believe President Bush (news - web sites) wants to reinstate the military draft, a national poll suggests.

The National Annenberg Election Survey found that 51 percent of adults age 18 to 29 believe Bush wants to reinstate the draft. Eight percent said Kerry supports bring back the draft, and 7 percent said both want to. A fourth of those polled said neither candidate favors the idea.
 
 
Baz Auckland
11:49 / 09.10.04
As of today, The Electoral Vote Predictor has Kerry back on top with 280 Electoral College votes to Bush's 239!
 
 
FinderWolf
03:01 / 10.10.04
Excellent!!
 
 
FinderWolf
12:13 / 11.10.04
Yahoo News has this as a main headline today:

>> - Democratic challenger John Kerry (news - web sites) expanded his slight lead over President Bush (news - web sites) to three points in a tight race for the White House, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Monday.

>> The Massachusetts senator held a 47-44 percent lead over Bush in the latest three-day tracking poll, up two points from Sunday. Bush's support dropped one point and Kerry's support rose one point in the new poll.
 
 
FinderWolf
12:31 / 12.10.04
Today's campaign news -- I personally feel Kerry never should have used the words 'nuisance' and 'terrorism' anywhere near each other...it has a weak tone to it that makes it easy for the Bush campaign to seize on and criticize...:

>> from Yahoo.com:

Bush, also campaigning in New Mexico, ridiculed Kerry for saying in an interview published Sunday in The New York Times Magazine, "We have to get back to the place we were, where terrorists are not the focus of our lives but they're a nuisance."

"I couldn't disagree more," the president said. "Our goal is not to reduce terror to some acceptable level of nuisance. Our goal is to defeat terror by staying on the offensive."

The Kerry campaign counterattacked, circulating a 2-year-old comment from Brent Scowcroft, the national security adviser in the first Bush administration, who said the United States can break the back of terrorism "so that it is a horrible nuisance, and not a paralyzing influence."

Nationally, a CNN-USA Today-Gallup poll taken Saturday and Sunday showed Bush and Kerry in a statistical dead heat, with 49 percent for the Democrat and 48 percent for Bush among likely voters. The poll's margin of error was 4 percentage points.
 
 
FinderWolf
16:35 / 12.10.04
Oooh, this "nuisance" thing is the biggest ammo against Kerry the Bush campaign has had in while...this is gonna sting for quite a while, I fear... big misstep by Kerry to say 'eventually we'll get terrorism down to the kind of nuisances presented by prostitution and gambling.'

from today's news:

>> Bernard B. Kerik, a former New York police commissioner, also took on Kerry's "nuisance" line, saying "a nuisance didn't kill" the victims of Sept. 11, 2001. "Al Qaeda did," he added.
 
 
Alex's Grandma
17:09 / 12.10.04
Yeah, that's just the kind of soundbite the likes of Karl Rove dream about unfortunately. What the fuck was he thinking ?
 
 
FinderWolf
19:05 / 12.10.04
On the other hand, a group in Norway just took out a huge full page anti-Bush ad in the NY Daily News (either that or the Post). Their website is called www.tellhim.no.
 
 
FinderWolf
20:12 / 12.10.04
On the OTHER hand, there's this piece:

>> http://www.drudgereport.com/flash2.htm

Middle Class Said To Pay Higher Tax Rate Than Heinz Kerry And John Kerry

Mon Oct 11 2004 10:22:17 ET

Stephen Moore, president of the Club for Growth, writes in the WALL STREET JOURNAL on Monday: "According to the Kerrys' own tax records, and they have not released all of them, the couple had a combined income of $6.8 million in income last year and paid $725,000 in income taxes. That means their effective tax rate was a whopping 12.8%.... "Under the current tax system the middle class pays far more than the Kerry tax rate. In fact, the average federal tax rate -- combined payroll and income tax -- for a middle-class family is closer to 20% or more. George W. and Laura Bush, who had an income one- tenth of the Kerrys', paid a tax rate of 30%. ...

"Here is the man who finds clever ways to reduce his own tax liability while voting for higher taxes on the middle class dozens of times in his Senate career. He even voted against the Bush tax cut that saves each middle-class family about $1,000." The Kerrys "have unwittingly made the case for what George W. Bush says he wants to do: radically simplify and flatten out the tax code. ... So before John Kerry is given the opportunity to raise taxes again on American workers, shouldn't he and Teresa at least pay their fair share?"
 
 
ibis the being
21:52 / 12.10.04
What? Drudge and his source must be nuts. Kerry is the one who's pushing for taxing the richest people, including - as he loves to point out - himself. Bush's plan gives tax cuts to the wealthy, and though I haven't heard anything about him "flattening" the tax rates, flat tax still favors the rich.
 
 
w1rebaby
22:35 / 12.10.04
No, it's accurate in a sense, just doesn't lead to the conclusion that Drudge indicates. The rich don't pay that much tax currently. Kerry would doubtless do less well under a fairer tax policy.

Drudge is a Republican shill, in case anyone wasn't aware of that.
 
 
FinderWolf
12:46 / 13.10.04
I read a terrific review about the PBS Frontline special that aired last night on the Prez. candidates; it got praise for being very fair and balances in its portrayal of both Bush and Kerry.

I didn't watch the special, but read this review of it on a blog this am:

>> WOW, KERRY NEVER FLIP-FLOPPED AFTER ALL!!!

>> Very interesting Frontline on PBS last night...all you undecideds should catch the repeat. It detailed the histories of both Bush and Kerry from childhood to today. The two most interesting points, for me at least, came in the final 15 minutes. It turns out Bush really didn't have a plan for peace in Iraq, and that Kerry has been consistent with his stance on the war all along. The day before the vote for the resolution to go to war, Kerry gave a speech to Congress that he was going to vote yes, based on the trust that the President will do everything in his power with sanctions and getting world wide co-operation before confronting Saddam...JUST LIKE HE'S BEEN SAYING THE WHOLE CAMPAIGN!

>> I had no idea he had given this speech back then ...he has been totally consistent with his view on Iraq.
--------

You can watch the video at http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/
 
 
FinderWolf
19:52 / 13.10.04
Re: Nader on ballots, which will influence the election in some way...

I've also read accounts from major news networks on forged signatures in other states, esp. having homeless people sign up multiple times...

------
from Yahoo News

Court Pulls Nader Off Pennsylvania Ballot

October 13, 2004
21 minutes ago Politics - AP

By PETER JACKSON, Associated Press Writer

HARRISBURG, Pa. - A state court knocked Ralph Nader (news - web sites) off Pennsylvania's presidential ballot on Wednesday, citing thousands of fradulent signatures including "Mickey Mouse" and "Fred Flintstone."

Describing the petitions as "rife with forgeries," Commonwealth Court President Judge James Gardner Colins said that fewer than 19,000 of the more than 51,000 signatures that Nader's supporters submitted were valid. Nader needed at least 25,697 to be listed on the ballot as an independent candidate.

"I am compelled to emphasize that this signature-gathering process was the most deceitful and fraudulent exercise ever perpetrated upon this court," Colins said in a 15-page ruling that followed a two-week review in multiple courtrooms across the state.

"The conduct of the candidates, through their representatives (not their attorneys), shocks the conscience of the court," he said. "In reviewing signatures, it became apparent that, in addition to signing names such as 'Mickey Mouse,' 'Fred Flintstone,' 'John Kerry (news - web sites),' and the ubiquitous 'Ralph Nader,' there were thousands of names that were created at random and then randomly assigned either existent or nonexistent addresses by the circulators."

The signature review was prompted by a court challenge filed by a group of voters sympathetic to Democratic candidate Sen. John Kerry.

Democrats have had mixed success in their effort to keep Nader off the ballot in battleground states where they fear he could siphon votes from John Kerry. Besides Pennsylvania, he failed to make the ballot in Ohio, Oregon and Missouri but has succeeded in winning a spot on ballots in Florida, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin.

Overall, Nader will be on the ballot in 34 states and the District of Columbia.

Nader's unsettled status had caused headaches for elections officials in Pennsylvania's 67 counties as the court proceedings bumped up against the timetable for mailing out larger-than-usual batches of absentee ballots.

Some counties heeded the state's recommendation that they not send out civilian absentee ballots until after the court case was settled, but many counties decided to mail out ballots that included Nader so that voters have time to cast them by the Oct. 29 deadline. Absentee votes cast for Nader are likely to be thrown out, officials have said.

In 2000, Democrat Al Gore (news - web sites) carried Pennsylvania, beating George W. Bush by fewer than 205,000 votes out of 4.9 million cast. Nader, the Green Party nominee that year, received 103,392 votes.

-------
 
 
*
22:07 / 13.10.04


Tom Tomorrow usually has my feelings pretty much pegged.
 
 
FinderWolf
16:41 / 14.10.04
Bush won't win if Garry Trudeau has anything to say about it - I was actually going to look up the site he mentioned also, since it was an anti-Bush statement from a conversative:

from Yahoo News:

Comic Strip Spurs Surge in Web Traffic
Wed Oct 13, 5:57 PM ET Technology - AP

By ELLEN SIMON, AP Business Writer

NEW YORK - Need any proof that traditional media can send readers to the Web? Look no further than this week's Doonesbury.

The cartoon, which is in about 1,400 daily and Sunday newspapers and appears online at "Slate," this week features character Mark Slackmeyer as Mr. Honest Voices, referring readers to critiques of the Bush administration and the Iraq (news - web sites) war from traditionally conservative sources.

Monday's strip sent so many readers to an essay by Dwight Eisenhower's son on The (Manchester, N.H.) Union Leader's Web site that the site crashed.

On Tuesday, the strip referred readers to an e-mail by a Wall Street Journal reporter in Iraq posted on The Poynter Institute's Web site. That more than doubled traffic for a typical Tuesday, said Bill Mitchell, editor of Poynter Online.

Wednesday's strip mentioned an essay by a former aide to Ronald Reagan (news - web sites) on "Salon." By 9:30 a.m., the site had received as many new subscribers as it did the whole previous day, said Patrick Hurley, senior vice president of business operations. "And yesterday was an incredibly good day."

Said Mitchell, "We owe Mark Slackmeyer a tall cold one."

-----------------
 
 
FinderWolf
12:53 / 15.10.04
from Yahoo News:

Bush paid a rare visit to the Air Force One press cabin (we all know he almost never gives press conferences). That means he's nervous and feeling desperate.

Also:

>> In speeches to thousands of enthusiastic supporters in Las Vegas and Reno, and later in Central Point, Oregon, Bush joked about his folksy speaking ability, saying Americans were used to it.

>> "They know my blunt way of speaking. I get that from Mom. They know I sometimes mangle the English language. I get that from Dad. Americans also know that I tell you exactly what I'm going to do and I keep my word," he said.

Yikes... now this is the second time he's addressed his horrible verbal skills. Methinks someone's getting nervous...
 
 
ibis the being
14:36 / 15.10.04
HARRISBURG, Pa. - A state court knocked Ralph Nader (news - web sites) off Pennsylvania's presidential ballot on Wednesday, citing thousands of fradulent signatures including "Mickey Mouse" and "Fred Flintstone."

Describing the petitions as "rife with forgeries," Commonwealth Court President Judge James Gardner Colins said that fewer than 19,000 of the more than 51,000 signatures that Nader's supporters submitted were valid. Nader needed at least 25,697 to be listed on the ballot as an independent candidate.


I watched Nader appear as a guest on the David Letterman show last night. Letterman asked him what happened in Florida, and Nader claimed he'd been tripped up by unfair byzantine registration rules (about changes of address, etc) designed by Dems and Repubs to "rig" the system and prevent a third party from ever running.

Besides being a bastard and a liar, did he happen to catch the year 1992? When Ross Perot ran for president as a third party candidate and got a sizeable number of votes?
 
 
ibis the being
14:42 / 15.10.04
OOPS, sorry, freudian slip, I meant he asked Nader what happened in Pennsylvania.
 
 
FinderWolf
01:20 / 16.10.04
Bush actually made a THIRD goofy 'aww, shucks' joke about his poor speaking skills, saying he's sending his wife to meet with the AARP because she speaks better than him. Wow. This is our President.

Also on the news today: from Yahoo.com

>> WASHINGTON - Weeks after Texas National Guard officials signed an oath swearing they had turned over all of President Bush's military records, independent examiners found more than two dozen pages of previously unreleased documents about Bush.

The two retired Army lawyers went through Texas files under an agreement between the Texas Guard and The Associated Press, which sued to gain access to the files. The 31 pages of documents turned over to AP Thursday night include orders for high-altitude training in 1972, less than three months before Bush abruptly quit flying as a fighter pilot.

The discovery is the latest in a series of embarrassments for Pentagon and Texas National Guard officials who have repeatedly said they found and released all of Bush's Vietnam-era military files, only to belatedly discover more records. Those discoveries - nearly 100 pages, including Bush's pay records and flight logs - have been the result of freedom of information lawsuits filed in federal and Texas courts by AP.

A Texas National Guard spokesman defended the continuing discoveries, saying Guard officials didn't find all of Bush's records because they are disorganized and in poor shape.

"These boxes are full of dirt and rat (excrement) and dead bugs. They have never been sitting in an uncontrolled climate," said Lt. Col. John Stanford. "It's a tough task to go through archives that were not set up in a way that you could easily go through them."

Two Texas officials had signed sworn affidavits insisting they had reviewed the files in those boxes and released copies of all that related to Bush's 1968-1973 Guard service, however.
 
 
ibis the being
00:06 / 19.10.04
If you're a member of the United Methodist Church, you might like to sign this petition, and if not you might like to read it anyway.

Members of the Methodist Church in Texas, including a Methodist Bishop of North Texas, have composed a letter condemning Bush and Cheney (Methodist church members) of at least four chargeable offenses for lay members, those being crime, immorality, disobedience to the Order and Discipline of The UMC, and dissemination of doctrine contrary to the established standards of doctrine of The UMC, and they demand Bush and Cheney be kicked out of the Church unless/until they publicly repent.

Summaries of the charges are as follows -

1. Crime - led the United States into an illegal war against the sovereign nation of Iraq.

2. Immorality - Instead of truthfully leading the American public, Bush and Cheney withheld, manipulated, and fabricated information about Iraq against the advice of many in the intelligence community in order to manufacture the lies that they and their administration used to convince many Americans that war was necessary.

3/4. Disobedience and Dissemination of Contrary Doctrine - this one is longer, including condemnation for being anti-environment, lack of funding for family planning in 3rd world nations, cutting social programs, catering to the wealthy & corporations, restricting civil rights through the Patriot Act, supporting capital punishment, etc.

I love this petition, and this concluding passage shows exactly why -
We, the undersigned, are also very much disturbed by President Bush's many references to the significance of Christian faith in the decisions that he has made as President of the United States. George W. Bush has called Jesus his "favorite philosopher", said that Jesus changed his life, and that his decisions are often guided by prayer. In fact, we feel that most of his actions as president have directly contradicted the philosophy of Jesus. Jesus said to feed, clothe, and shelter the "least of these", not to starve, strip, and bomb them.

Right on.
 
 
rizla mission
08:31 / 19.10.04
Well three cheers for the Methodist Church of Texas!

(which isn't exactly a sentence I expected to be typing/saying when I woke up this morning..)
 
 
FinderWolf
12:53 / 19.10.04
Dead heat in the polls, plus most of the most powerful labor unions in the batteground states are supporting Kerry, which is a very good sign.

And over in California, Gov. Terminator just came out in support of stem cell research and gay domestic partnership issues. He commented that he's a much more centrist Republican than others.
 
 
FinderWolf
16:45 / 19.10.04
Watching CNN at Wendy's at lunch today, I learned that after Al Gore gave a scatching speech recently criticizing the Bush admin, the Bush campaign released a statement saying only "It's nothing but a mix of John Kerry and Michael Moore's 'greatest hits'..."

Kind of a lame comeback if you ask me. It also doesn't even refute the content.

Also, Dick Cheney just gave a big speech saying terrorists could bomb major U.S. cities (not based on any intelligence specifically, just saying we have to prepared for stuff like that).

And there's a Yahoo headline that says "Seniors urged to relax over flu vaccine shortage."

The Bush admin. is scared, folks.

The stories about the thousands of new voters registering specifically for this election, among many other things, have them scared. And despite election fraud and shit like that, if enough Democrats - and NEWly registered Democrats, vote Kerry, they won't be able to fuck with/erase ALL of those votes.
 
 
FinderWolf
19:31 / 19.10.04
JOSS WHEDON AND SARAH MICHELLE GELLAR are organizing Buffy-themed pro-Kerry parties across the country, called "High Stakes 2004" (at www.highstakes2004.com)

from aint it cool news:

>> Looks like Joss Whedon watched the debates and made up his mind! Shiny!

>> One week from tonight, expect fans of “Buffy the Vampire Slayer,” “Firefly” and “Angel” to unite in hundreds of houses and apartments all over the nation to raise funds for Joss Whedon’s candidates of choice:
John Kerry and John Edwards.
 
 
*
16:29 / 20.10.04
Might be nice to check out Six Degrees of Voting if you haven't already. Take a look at the overall map. It's not representative, but it's reassuring.
 
 
FinderWolf
17:36 / 20.10.04
I also saw an electoral projection in The New York Sun today that has Kerry winning by 10 electoral votes, the way things look now.
 
 
Foust is SO authentic
00:29 / 21.10.04
I want Kerry to win more than ever, just so I can watch this guy have a heart attack.
 
 
ibis the being
16:13 / 22.10.04
I think Bush is going to lose and I think his people know it. So much of their campaign has a whiff - at times a strong rankling stench - of desperation.

Check out this description of their new TV ad -

Reminiscent of Ronald Reagan (news - web sites)'s Soviet "Bear" ad that was credited with helping frame the 1984 race, the commercial shows a dense forest from above. Scurrying is heard as the camera plunges deeper into the woods and pans sunlight-speckled trees. Shadows move through the brush before animals are seen amid the forest.

Then, the ad reveals the type of animal: A pack of wolves rest on a hill. As the commercial closes, the predators stir, moving toward the camera.

"In an increasingly dangerous world, even after the first terrorist attack on America, John Kerry and the liberals in Congress voted to slash America's intelligence budget by $6 billion," an ominous voice says in the ad. "Cuts so deep they would have weakened America's defenses. And weakness attracts those who are waiting to do America harm."


That's just sad. I wonder what made them nix the original idea of showing a little kid paralyzed with terror of the boogeyman lurking under his bed.
 
 
Baz Auckland
21:48 / 22.10.04
...shouldn't they mention that the Republicans have been in control of congress since the mid-90s? That is plenty of time to reverse the decisions made by those evil budget-cutting liberals out there...
 
 
ibis the being
22:51 / 22.10.04
No, they didn't mention that, because in fact Republican Congressmen voted for the same budget cuts. But that's hardly shocking.
 
 
Our Lady Has Left the Building
13:49 / 23.10.04
What were things like when both houses turned Republican on Clinton in the mid-Nineties? Was he able to get stuff through that they didn't like? Were they able to get stuff past him that he didn't like? Was he unable to do anything for the last few years of his Presidency? I'm just wondering whether if Kerry wins and we pretend he's not a Republican anyway whether he'll be able to achieve much if the Houses are against him.
 
 
lekvar
07:14 / 24.10.04
I seem to remember that Clinton was essentially neutered by the Republican majority in the Legislature. Ol' Newt managed to get a veto on damn near everything Clinton approved except that little "incedent" in Yugoslavia.
 
 
Bed Head
13:02 / 24.10.04
Wondering what Hunter S Thompson has to say about the election this year?

I love a bit of Dr Thompson. Read, and laugh, and have a drink with it, and get yourself in fighting mood. It got me in fighting mood, and it’s not even my election or my president. Your side is the winning side, and George Bush is a miserable loser. And make sure you tell that to the next ‘undecided’ you can lay your hands on.

There is angst in the heart of Texas today, and panic in the bowels of the White House. Rove has a nasty little problem, and its name is George Bush. The president failed miserably from the instant he got onstage with John Kerry. He looked weak and dumb. Kerry beat him like a gong in Coral Gables, then again in St. Louis and Tempe -- and that is Rove's problem: His candidate is a weak-minded frat boy who cracks under pressure in front of 60 million voters.
 
 
rizla mission
09:56 / 25.10.04
Fuck yes! I've been waiting to read Our Lord HST's thoughts on the election for months, and, wow, he never disappoints.

I so, so, so hope his "good horse sense" is still working properly, cos his analysis of Bush's loserdom as set out there is *sweet*.
 
  

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