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"We" is not you, lolita. Wittingly or not, your votes have been instrumental in two bad lynchings. Again, you need to build a chart showing sequence and target to see this. Go ahead, it only takes about 20 minutes. Don't forget to include Enamon & Todd in the sequence.
Orr:
You have to go before iszabelle and Stoat because I'm hedging against you and Whiskey both being mafia. From a certain perspective, your relentless certainty and perfect record look guilty. How else could you know? This way, if you are mafia, you'll vote, presumably, for Whiskey. She'll vote for whoever -- you or me, probably. The voting trend has been controlled by WP, lolita & BiP's votes, though of course there isn't enough data to be certain how much of it is intentional. One of them might be innocent (I'm betting lolita, if anyone). But they must decide whether they want to appear to agree with you or Whiskey.
If they both disagree with you, you can see how it'll look. If they both agree with you, which isn't likely considering their voting trends and argumentation, it'll look pretty strange indeed.
If there is a tie, which is the most likely strategy for the mafia to use, I'd go, then iszabelle (here we are in my head, where I know I'm innocent, but since this could be pivotal I'd vote when they told me to). If iszabelle and I disagree, it would be up to Stoat, which should be acceptible to everyone (except maybe Stoat, but tough titty said the kitty).
The other option is for one of the mafia to choose a third target, but as you said, it's all or nothing at this point. A third target is an attempt to split the villager vote and only the mafia would do it.
1) That's why he should go last.
2) Those of us who are innocent only know two of the four -- ourselves and Stoat.
3) If Iszabelle, Stoat and I go last, the mafia will have to go before us, since at least 2 of us are innocent (both iszabelle and I are certain that at least two of us are innocent, but for the rest of you, it's unlikely that iszabelle and I are both mafia). We'll see the mafia voting together. Since my cred's the worst out of the three, I'd vote when they told me to.
4) Obviously Stoat should vote for who he thinks is guilty, regardless of iszabelle's vote. I did say "if he can help it," and "it'll depend on how things go." I was just pointing out that he'd followed her lead in the last 3 votes, all for the wrong person (though twice it was for Byron).
As I see it, the flaw here is that we can't be sure of iszabelle, but hell, you've got to trust somebody. Maybe Stoat could decide who casts the pivotal vote. |
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