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Illegal Immigration and borders

 
  

Page: 1234(5)678

 
 
Dragon
21:51 / 18.07.06
paranoidwriter, maybe you could enlighten me a bit.
 
 
Dragon
21:56 / 18.07.06
Haus, I had completely forgotten about that episode. Who knows, maybe they rationalized that if we didn't do it, the Russians would?
 
 
paranoidwriter waves hello
22:02 / 18.07.06
About what specifically? The Iran-Iraq war? The oil industry and insecurity in the Middle East? The Bush clan's long relationship with the oil industry? Donald Rumsfeld, Halliburton, and Iraq?

I'm saying there's a hell of a lot of information which you may not be considering. Including a lot of information already posted up-thread.
 
 
paranoidwriter waves hello
22:10 / 18.07.06
Shit, I meant Dick Chaney, not Rumsfeld. Sorry they all look teh same to me.

*egg on face*
 
 
ONLY NICE THINGS
22:11 / 18.07.06
Now, dragon. You're not trusting a Muslim news source, are you? You can't trust those guys - even the moderates are easily swayed to extremism.
 
 
Jack Fear
22:18 / 18.07.06
YOU'RE DOING IT AGAIN AARGH
 
 
ONLY NICE THINGS
22:45 / 18.07.06
Well, Jack, why don't you have a go? I'm sure nobody here will hold your ... persuasion against you.
 
 
The Falcon
22:49 / 18.07.06
I'm quite happy for you to do Thunderdome, Jack, given you're apparently best disposed toward Dragon presently. Let us know if you don't get any change.
 
 
paranoidwriter waves hello
23:09 / 18.07.06
Yeah, I'll endeavour to stay out of this discussion as well from now on. Making mistakes like confusing Chaney and Rumsfeld probably isn't helping matters. However, Dragon, there's a lot of info online (and on Barbelith ) about Halliburten, Wackenhut security, and other companies related to the Bush administration which I sincerely reckon you'd find interesting. I'm also sorry if I came across a snooty: I was genuinely trying to have a fair discussion with you, but sometimes I forget people can't see my face when I'm typing.
 
 
paranoidwriter waves hello
23:29 / 18.07.06
(Being able to spell "Dick Cheney" and "Halliburton", might have helped as well. Ho-hum.)
 
 
Dragon
02:08 / 19.07.06
Sorry, Paranoidwriter. This is what I was refering to:
"The enemy of my enemy is my friend"

Hmmm...I take your point, but I was hinting at the possibility that the US (and the UK and every other country, for that matter) are not the noble, freedom loving parties you may think they are. Indeed,if you look at history from as many sides as possible, you will probably see factors such as immigration and international insecurity are not factors one can blame on a specific set of people or a single religion. Do you know what I mean?

e.g. Do you see the link between global economic disparity, immigration, and the luxuries you see in your local store? Do you see the link between cheep gas in your car, the oil industry, the continual attacks on Islamic states and the rise in so called Islamic Terrorism? Are you proud of what your country is doing in your name?
 
 
Dragon
02:13 / 19.07.06
Parnoidwriter.
Haus, I had completely forgotten about that episode. Who knows, maybe they rationalized that if we didn't do it, the Russians would?


About what specifically? The Iran-Iraq war? The oil industry and insecurity in the Middle East? The Bush clan's long relationship with the oil industry? Donald Rumsfeld, Halliburton, and Iraq?

I'm saying there's a hell of a lot of information which you may not be considering. Including a lot of information already posted up-thread.


That was about Iran-contra and selling arms to Iran.
 
 
Dragon
02:33 / 19.07.06
Now, dragon. You're not trusting a Muslim news source, are you? You can't trust those guys - even the moderates are easily swayed to extremism.

Funny guy, Haus.
 
 
ONLY NICE THINGS
05:20 / 19.07.06
You laugh, then you learn.

Or you don't. Either way. Point being that right now, you're exploring the fascinating world of being like an anti-Semite... but with Muslims. That's a crazy happening. One way one can tell this is that you are not worrying about the provenance of a news source, as long as it supports your prejudices. There's a post relating to this here, which you might want to read.
 
 
ONLY NICE THINGS
09:21 / 19.07.06
Annnway, back on topic. Alas, quoting Card, said above:

"Easily the most influential of Borjas's critics is David Card, a Canadian who teaches at Berkeley. He has said repeatedly that, from an economic standpoint, immigration is no big deal and that a lot of the opposition to it is most likely social or cultural. ''If Mexicans were taller and whiter, it would probably be a lot easier to deal with,'' he says pointedly.

So, can we agree, Dragon, that you agree with this, and that the main concerns being raised about immigration from Mexico are being raised through ignorance of the beneficial financial effects of immigration and racism on the part of "natives" of the United States - before we went off on one about Muslims - just as nativists felt about Irish Catholics in the 1840s and 1850s?

Can we further identify this element of thinking in the statement:

At the same time, I believe there are differences in culture which both sides do not fully appreciate. When a person in a country where corruption is prominant, where a wink and a nod is a way of life, it is this way of life that can affect the way that person perceives things in another country, and as a result, how he chooses to behave.

And - and this is where the series of apparently random interventions coalesce into a structure - how does this coincide with the secret sale of arms to Iraq and Iran in the 1980s by the United States? Specifically, with the actions taken by a number of powerful, largely white, largely male, largely native citizens of the United States. Looking at this behaviour, one might start to think of your fellow native citizens:

When a person in a country where corruption is prominant, where a wink and a nod is a way of life, it is this way of life that can affect the way that person perceives things in another country, and as a result, how he chooses to behave.

Perhaps this explains the corruption among American citizens you and Michelle Malkin highlight in the conduct of the INS, here. After all, if your executive is regularly performing illegal and clandestine operations for monetary gain, why shouldn't you?

Fortunately, however, you are prepared to exonerate this behaviour, saying:

Who knows, maybe they rationalized that if we didn't do it, the Russians would?

So, it looks to me like you think it's OK to perform shady, illicit deals, as long as you are a) white and b) native - after all, if INS employee (a) had not taken bribes, INS employee (b) would have. This tolerance of shady, illicit dealing on the part of native US citizens seems much, in fact, like the approach of the Order of the Star-Spangled Banner, the secret society formed to protect native interests against the Catholic menace in the 1840s which subsequently became the American Party. In fact, one might draw a line between the policy of that organisation to respond to any inquiries as to their leaders or fellow members - "I know nothing" - a habit that got them the nickname "know-nothings" - and the testimony of our own dear 40th President of the United States of America, Ronald Reagan, to the Tower Commission - "I don't remember".

Presumably, passing neatly back to global terrorism, and thus to the Muslims, the same nativism informs the difference between, say, the Reagan adminstration removing Iraq from the list of terrorist countries in 1982 in order to provide it with tactical support and materials for its chemical and nuclear weapons programmes, and the Reagan administration refusing to accept the judgment of the United Nations in 1985 that iit was guilty of supporting terrorism in Nicaragua, using funds from weapons sales to Iran. I imagine that you see these incidents as perfectly justifiable because:

Everybody does it

Despite the deaths caused by these actions being, I suspect, far greater than the deaths caused by immigration to the US in the same period.

So. Nativism is not necessarily indivisible from racism - the Know-Nothings had the same colour skin, or thereabouts, as the Irish and Italians they sought to disenfranchise, although they would probably have thought of them as racially distinct. However, your particular strain of nativism appears configured to pardon people with white skin for their defrauding of the American peoople, their illegal actions and their support for terror, while looking at people with brown skin as, in effect, crimes waiting to happen:

I believe there are differences in culture which both sides do not fully appreciate. When a person in a country where corruption is prominant, where a wink and a nod is a way of life, it is this way of life that can affect the way that person perceives things in another country, and as a result, how he chooses to behave.

I don't know how much of this you wiill be taking on board, but enrieb reminded me usefully in the Policy that we have a responsibility to present arguments regardless of whether or not we believe that the person advancing the argument will listen. I very much hope that this will spur you to a bit of reference and examination, however, if only to refute my arguments comprehensively.
 
 
illmatic
09:52 / 19.07.06
Thank you for reminding me of Dragon's opening comments, Haus. It reminded me of this article by Greg Palast which suggests that electoral fraud in Mexico is in fact, partly the reponsibility of the United States.

I may as well quote the whole thing, it's not very long.

There's something rotten in Mexico. And it smells like Florida. The ruling party, the Washington-friendly National Action party (Pan), proclaimed last week that its victory in the presidential race, albeit tortilla-thin, was Mexico's first "clean" election. But that requires we close our eyes to some very dodgy doings in the vote count that are far too reminiscent of the games played in Florida in 2000 by the Bush family. And, indeed, evidence suggests that Team Bush had a hand in what may be another presidential election heist.

Just before the 2000 balloting in Florida, I reported in the Guardian that its governor, Jeb Bush, had ordered the removal of tens of thousands of black citizens from the state's voter rolls. He called them "felons", but our investigation discovered their only crime was Voting While Black. And that little scrub of the voter rolls gave the White House to his brother George.
Jeb's winning scrub list was the creation of a private firm, ChoicePoint of Alpharetta, Georgia. Now, it seems, ChoicePoint is back in the voter list business - in Mexico - at the direction of the Bush government. Months ago I got my hands on a copy of a memo from the FBI marked "secret", regarding a contract for "intelligence collection of foreign counter-terrorism investigations".

Given that the memo was dated September 17, 2001, a week after the attack on the World Trade Centre, hunting for terrorists seemed like a heck of a good idea. But oddly, while all 19 hijackers came from Saudi Arabia and the Persian Gulf, the contract was for obtaining the voter files of Venezuela, Brazil . . . and Mexico.

What those Latin American countries have in common, besides a lack of terrorists, is either a left-leaning president or a left candidate for president ahead in the opinion polls, leaders of the floodtide of Bush-hostile Latin leaders. It seems that the Bush government feared that the leftist surge was up against the US's southern border.

As we found in Florida in 2000, my investigations team on the ground in Mexico City last week found voters in poor neighbourhoods, the left's turf, complaining that their names were "disappeared" from the voter rolls. ChoicePoint can't know what use the Bush crew makes of its lists. But erased registrations require us to ask, before this vote is certified, was there a purge as there was in Florida?

Notably, ruling party operatives carried registration lists normally in the hands of election officials only. (In Venezuela in 2004, during the special election to recall that country's president, Hugo Chávez, I saw his opponents consulting laptops with voter lists. Were these the purloined FBI files? The Chávez government suspects so but, victorious, won't press the case.)

There's more that the Mexico vote has in common with Florida besides the heat. The ruling party's hand-picked electoral commission counted a mere 402,000 votes more for their candidate, Felipe Calderón, over his challenger Andrés Manuel López Obrador.

That is noteworthy in light of the surprise showing of candidate Señor Blank-o (the 827,000 ballots supposedly left "blank"). We've seen Mr Blank-o do well before - in Florida in 2000 when Florida's secretary of state (who was also co-chair of the Bush campaign) announced that 179,000 ballots showed no vote for the president. The machines couldn't read these ballots with "hanging chads" and other technical problems. Humans can read these ballots with ease, but the hand-count was blocked by Bush's conflicted official.

And so it is in Mexico. The Calderón "victory" is based on a gross addition of tabulation sheets. His party, the Pan, and its election officials are refusing López Obrador's call for a hand recount of each ballot that would be sure to fill in those blanks. Blank ballots are rarely random. In Florida, in 2000, 88% of the supposedly blank ballots came from African-American voting districts - that is, they were cast by Democratic voters.

In Mexico the supposed empty or unreadable ballots come from the poorer districts where the challenger's Party of the Democratic Revolution (PDR) is strongest.

There is an echo of the US non- count in the south-of-the-border tally. It's called "negative drop-off". In a surprising number of districts in Mexico, the federal electoral commission logged lots of negative drop-off: more votes for lower offices than for president. Did López Obrador supporters, en masse, forget to punch in their choice?

There are signs of Washington's meddling in its neighbour's election. The International Republican Institute, an arm of Bush's party apparatus funded by the US government, admits to providing tactical training for Pan.

Did Pan also make use of the purloined citizen files? (US contractor ChoicePoint, its Mexican agents facing arrest for taking the data, denied wrongdoing and vowed to destroy its copies of the lists. But what of Mr Bush's copy?)

Mexico's Bush-backed ruling party claims that it has conducted Mexico's first truly honest election, although it refuses to re-count the ballots or explain the purge of voters. Has the Pan and its ally in Washington served democracy in this election, or merely Florida con salsa?


There have been some angry denunciations of this article on the Guardian talkboards, and I don't know to what extent Palast's insinuations here are true. I do find the involvement of Jeb Bush's company very suspcious thought. However, Palast is on much firmer ground with his charges against the Bush adminisatraion in Florda 2000. So, Dragon, when I hear Dragon you saying a country where corruption is prominant, where a wink and a nod is a way of life I really have to ask, what country are you talking about?

I suggest you have a read of Palast's book he Best Democracy Money Can Buy.You might find it illuminating.
 
 
elene
09:56 / 19.07.06
Sorry but I was busy. I notice we've changed direction, but there are a couple of posts I didn't respond to yesterday.

paranoidwriter:

... would the numbers of people trying to reach richer shores change do you think if the shores they were leaving were richer?

One of the reasons I think we could have a problem with excessive immigration from Africa is that I consider poverty, but far more so lack of security, stability and opportunities to be the major forces that drive people from their homes. I believe that had people reasonable opportunities and some moderate degree of security there would be no danger of a large proportion of them seeking Europe out as an alternative. Unfortunately that's not the case.

... that most so called "illegal immigrants" ... act as a back-bone for their new country, seems to be forgotten by many of those in power

Doesn't that bug you as well?


Yes, it does.

alas:

thanks for the interesting discussion of how immigrant labour rapidly merges with the native pool expanding the whole economy. I agree with Lurid and grant's reservations concerning neo-liberalism and apartheid respectively, but also agree that a reasonably flexible economy can be expected to absorb a great many people with few ill-effects. I bought the second article, Lowenstein's, by the way and it's fascinating, especially the experimental proofs.

I do hope it's clear that I've never doubted this, I simply don't believe that an influx of 5 to 10 million people per year - a completely different regime in any immigration equation we might construct, with numbers an order of magnitude higher than those considered in these articles - can be sustained by the EU indefinitely, or even much longer than a decade.
 
 
ophion
10:19 / 19.07.06
Haus:
I've been following this discussion and, while I'm not particularly a fan of Dragon's views or his choice of anecdotal evidence to back them up, I'm a bit concerned with the way you seem to be seamlessly switching between a moderator type role (in which you keep the conversation on track, asking him to hold up until he's answered certain questions etc) and your sarcastic baiting of his views ('dirty Catholics' etc). I don't know if this is a particular Barbelith thing but it comes across to a newbie like myself as throwing your weight around. Please don't take this as a personal attack, but I would hate to be over-sympathising with Dragon by identifying him as an underdog,
Regards, Queen A
 
 
illmatic
10:26 / 19.07.06
Well, personally, I don't think mods have any obligation not to be rude or challenging but can we keep discussion of those issues to the Policy thread- "What gets you banned on Barbelith"? If it's Haus in particular you have an issue with "Burning Down the Haus" - now in Convo.
 
 
ONLY NICE THINGS
10:33 / 19.07.06
Queen A - you are entirely at liberty to construct your own reactions to Dragon's arguments; if you feel too much underdog sympathy making you involuntarily Islamophobic, it might be worth considering that the views he is espousing are to a great extent apparently the views of the most powerful man in the world, and see if that reorients your sympathies.

The role of the moderator differs on Barbelith, practically speaking, from almost every other message board. Moderators are appointed to specific fora precisely because they are consistently involved in discussion there. The balance is provided by distributed moderation, wherein, even if I decide that I want to obliterate everything Dragon has posted to this thread, I cannot do so without the agreement of a number of other moderators. This gives moderators the freedom to interact as private individuals as well as representatives of Barbelith as a corporate entity. There's more on how distributed moderation functions in the Barbelith Wiki; if you haven't already read it, I very strongly suggest that you do now, as it is full of useful information for the new member.
 
 
Spaniel
10:49 / 19.07.06
And stop signing your posts. Thanks.
 
 
Tom Paine's Bones
11:18 / 19.07.06
Where there is a mix of militant muslims and moderate muslims, the militants are winning.

The first thing to point out here is that the site you link to is a right wing propaganda site, so isn't a nonpartisan source. I think that may be the problem with you using the Internet at the moment. It's not that the Internet isn't a useful resource if used well. It's that you seem to have trouble determining the bias of your sources and working out which ones are valid.

The second thing to point out is that it simply isn't true. I refer you to this poll of British Muslims and their attitudes. I'd recommend reading it in full, but just to pick a couple of points out I think are important. (Note that this is from The Times, which is a conservative newspaper).

92% of British Muslims believe their community makes a valuable contribution to British society.

65% say their community needs to do more to integrate with the rest of society.

87% say they have non-Muslims who are close friends. Only 33% of the general population say that they have a close friend who is a Muslim.

35% of British Muslims would feel proud if a close relative joined the police force. Another 37% would accept it. Compare this to the 78% who would feel angry if a relative joined Al Qaeda, whereas only 2% would feel proud.


From those statistics, it really would seem that your fear of Muslims as 'the enemy within' is based on paranoia caused by reading too many far right sites, as opposed to the facts.
 
 
Not in the Face
11:19 / 19.07.06
Elene - can I ask where you got the figure of 5 to 10 million a year and how you think it breaks down? Your post implies that many of them would come from Africa. I know you talked about this earlier but I don't still don't see that the population rise in Africa will lead inevtiably to the massive numbers you state, short of an Africa wide catastrophic social and environmental collapse.

The UNHCR puts the total number of people of concern at 19.2 million worldwide (although this is an underestimate by its own reckoning excluding some groups like Palestinians), of which 5.6 million are internally displaced.

As to economic migrants, those seeking work, I agree its been harder to find the figures for Europe. The International Organisation for Migration puts France, UK and Germany in the top 10 destinations but no more detailed breakdown than that. As has been pointed out elsewhere in this thread because someone is an economic migrant does not mean they want to settle in that country and I think the evidence implies a lot of economic migrants do return to their home nation. The government's proposed migrant workers scheme seeks to encourage this.

I don't disagree with the idea that there is a practical limit to how quickly any one country can absorb migrants even in terms of just giving them a place to live and that this appears to cause problems at the current rate but I still can'tr accept 5-10 million people a year turning up looking for work even were the borders to be opened.

Changing the subject slightly I also wonder how far the visibility of certain types of migrants affects reactions - the link above puts China as the biggest country of orgin and yet its not possible to simply walk out of China in such large numbers thanks to the government's own policy and the surrounding environment. Compare that with Mexican or North African migrants who are more feasibly able to make it on their own steam. It seems rational to assume that those migrants travelling the farthest distances are also those obligated to smuggling organisations which set them up with work at the other end while those who arrive with no organisation are forced to seek work and so their presence is more obvious. The deaths of 19 cockle pickers as part of a chain gang highlighted some of these issues but Chinese immigration is never raised as a public concern despite the increasing numbers
 
 
ophion
11:27 / 19.07.06
Thanks for delineating your roles, I was indeed under a false impression regarding moderators which will, I'm sure be banished when I give the Wiki a proper look! Ive got no beef with Haus, and take the point that comments about behaviour should be in another area. So much to learn. Anyway, there's no danger of Islamophobia creeping in, it was more of a personal empathy, which I over-egged to make a rhetorical point (almost!). I don't want to rot the thread (is that right) even further, so bye for now

xxx
 
 
elene
12:18 / 19.07.06
Not in the Face, I'm merely guessing that some 5 percent of those who might expect to profit by moving to Europe will actally do so if they can. It's clear that most won't be able to and many more simply won't want to but one can often assume that some 5 percent are exceptional. I'm not talking about refugees at all, I'm talking exclusivly about economic migrants, people seeking a better life in a world with more possibilities. What fraction of Africa's population do you think might realistically decide a better future awaits them in Europe if there's no reason not to go? Feel free to leave out the Islamic counties, the better-off countries and everyone over thirty.
 
 
paranoidwriter waves hello
15:27 / 19.07.06
(Sorry all, I was going to stay out of this, but it would be rude of me not to answer your (Dragon's) replies, so...)

That was about Iran-contra and selling arms to Iran.

Dragon, America and American based companies have been making money out of the Middle East for decades. Of course, there have been a few stumbling blocks to the progress of American domination in the Middle East, namely Afghanistan, Iraq and (still) Iran, but some of America's current administration (and their friends) are making a hell of a lot of money out of the Middle East right now. e.g. "Cheney, Halliburton, and Wartime Spoils". Most of the people who live in these countries, on the other hand are living (at best) a hand to mouth existence. (e.g.)

Therefore, do you not think American / British / etc and Multinational Corporate involvement in the Middle East might not be (at least) partially responsible for why a lot of people who live there are getting pissed off and resulting to violence to get themselves heard and fed, or simply crossing continents for a chance of a better life?

In respect of "Islamic Fundamentalism", just take a look at a map of the Middle East and you can see that America and her allies are doing quite well at the game of Risk right now. They've virtually got Iran surrounded and (coincidence?) there are already rumours of a potential US land invasion of Iran if she doesn't bow down to the US administration over nuclear technology.*

Seriously, do you see why (e.g.) Iran's leaders might be feeling a bit intimidated right now? To their east they have Afghanistan and Pakistan, to their west they have Iraq, and across the Gulf of Oman to the south their neighbours are the United Arab Emirates an Saudi Arabia; all of which are either policed by America (i.e. armed forces) or allied with America.

Also, seeing as this model of western intrusion and economic dominance can be seen in action virtually all over the developing world, do you think there's any wonder why many Muslims are (for want of a better term) nervous, and why people are risking life and limb to reach safer and more affluent shores? And if so, what right do you have to keep them out, seeing as the wealth of your nation is (at least) partially due to the poverty of other countries?

I'm not asking you not to love your country, but please don't be blind to her faults. Indeed, in my humble opinion, if you want to argue about immigration to America then you should first look at America's economic relationship with the rest of the world. If you want to discuss the so called "terrorist threat" in America, then I feel that you simply cannot ignore that America's foreign policies are a major contributory cause of such violence. (e.g)

Dragon, I spent about half an hour on the Interweb finding these links for you. However, greater research on your part will no doubt turn up far more details and revelations about US foreign policy, economic disparity, and how all this relates to so called "illegal immigration" (which I feel is a false construct; but then I like to consider myself an International Citizen, so...). I also rcommend you read more of Noam Chomsky and his peers, as they know far more about all this than I ever could.

_______________________

*The US is the only country that has EVER used a nuclear bomb on an enemy, but (hypocritically) it demands that other nations should not have a similar capability. However, (at best) this is a patronising and (at worst) racist assumption, to believe that "we" can be trusted to have nuclear weapons, but "they" cannot. Remember the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty? Also, the last time I checked America still doesn't allow the UN to routinely inspect its weapons. So, double standards?
 
 
Not in the Face
17:19 / 19.07.06
What fraction of Africa's population do you think might realistically decide a better future awaits them in Europe if there's no reason not to go? Feel free to leave out the Islamic counties, the better-off countries and everyone over thirty.

Thats the kicker, that its impossible to predict. My reference to refugees was to illustrate that even amongst those people who are forced to leave their homes the numbers worldwide are quite small. As for economic migrants, I think we've both proved its very hard to put a figure on it, ot at least find evidence 'casually'.

While trying to find bits of evidence for my view, I found this site and in particular this article which highlights some of the points I'll respond to - the range of professionals emigrating and the degree of migration between African countries. This chart I think indicates that the total number of international migrants (presumably both in and out of Africa) stood at 2.05%, although its quite hot and my chart reading is never great.

However even if we take the figure of 5%, I don't believe its fair to look at all of Africa. Those residents of countries closer to Europe will always find it easier to make the journey I suspect and will probably bear a signficant portion of failed migrants. It also challenges the idea of leaving out Islamic countries of which these all are. The BBC story your referre to talked almost exclusively about Morrocan and Latin American workers

I would also not be surprised if, amongst economic migrants it is those from the better-off countries who are more represented. After all they are more likely to have the funds for travel, access to information on where to travel, connections within the countries they are travelling to and education to travel. Migrants from poorer countries will be more likely to travel to close by, wealthier countries to seek work because thats what they can afford/physically manage
 
 
grant
17:42 / 19.07.06
I went out looking for something to support this thing I'd heard about Halliburton building the Mexico fence, but can only find speculation and assumptions (based on the idea that their Iraq contract is running out at the same time the fence just got voted in by the Senate, and that Halliburton is already building detention centers for illegal immigrants. Because of the "emergency".)

Think about those last two for a second. Not deported, but held.

Anyway, I did find this thing from factcheck.org about the idea of the fence, that points out some hard numbers about who's coming in where and concludes that as far as national security against state sponsors of terrorism goes, we'd be better off building a wall across the *other* border -- the scary-scary Syrians and Sudanese and the rest all come through Canada. Bbbbut we listen to the same music as them and talk the same language and eat the same foods so so so how can that be???

----

On a meta-level, this is all feeling a *lot* like a Switchboard thread now.
 
 
elene
18:23 / 19.07.06
That 5 percent wasn't from the entire population of Africa but from approximately the subset I suggested you too use, Not in the Face. The way people migrate to Europe at the moment is step by step from one country to another earning money along the way. It can easily take a year and in the end they must pay a lot of money for a dangerous ride in a boat and may well be turned back should they arrive at all. The routes do exist though, they’re just prohibitively dangerous and expensive for most people to use and will remain so if Europe’s borders remain closed. The question is really whether 5 percent of a very poor community can and will travel that far presuming they know a way and it is permitted. I don't know whether that is the case or not, but I think I can show that it's not impossible.

In the 10 years between 1841 and 1851 about 10 percent of Ireland's population emigrated. The exodus was driven chiefly by a famine caused by the potato blight of 1845, so in fact it's nearer 10 percent of the total population in six years. Ireland was exporting a lot of food throughout the famine. Most of the people leaving were pitifully poor, for only the poor were affected. Populations in the cities rose during the same period.

Simply scaling this situation up a hundredfold cannot give accurate results and I don’t want to pretend it can. Africa is no doubt not only one hundred time larger but also a proportionately more complex problem. These people were refugees too, though emigration continued at these rates for many years after the famine and never returned to what had earlier been normal. That's partially a result of cheaper travel and the routes being known. Anyway I merely hope this example shows that what I'm suggesting is not to be discarded with a mere wave of the hand.

10 percent of Africa's population is 90 million people. Were so many to emigrate in 10 years that's 9 million a year. I know that South Africa, for example, remains an important destination, but I think very many young people will try to reach the west if they have the chance.
 
 
elene
18:40 / 19.07.06
this is all feeling a *lot* like a Switchboard thread now

Yes it is, grant. I was wrong, we’re never going to get out of the political and practical details and onto a more abstract level. This thread does belong in the Switchboard.
 
 
ONLY NICE THINGS
19:08 / 19.07.06
Well, actually, there have been attempts to do that - for example, the comparison of the "Catholic scare" of the USA in the 1840s and 50s, and the recurrence of the same ideas about immigration, and the difference between immigration from nations full of people who look like you and speak your language and immigration from those who do not. The specific discussion of how many people might in the future come to Europe from Africa? That is indeed quite Switchboardy. Whether the whole thread is I am unsure about.
 
 
elene
19:34 / 19.07.06
Yes, you’re right too, Haus. Sorry. Each time I’m done with this cursed Albatross I’ve hung about my neck (which indeed belongs in Switchboard) I rush to get away from it and so I’m probably not following some of the more general ideas as well as I ought.
 
 
Dragon
21:29 / 19.07.06
In the back of my mind were comments about racism and perceptions of it by some people. After doing a bit of reading, I came across Hanlon's razor, an adage which reads: Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity.

Remembering the racism thing, it occurred to me to suggest a variaton of Hanlon’s razor: Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by innocence.

BTW, if I'm a little more scarce the next few days, it will be partly due to work as well as a need to reflect more on what has been said before commenting. I know how some get a little impatient at times...

Also, I forgot who mentioned that the INS had been disbanded, with new organizations taking its place, with all of them now being a part of Homeland Security. But thanks for the heads up.
 
 
paranoidwriter waves hello
03:09 / 20.07.06
Dragon, first of all, thank you for introducing me to Hanlon's Razor: an interesting adage, which I will ponder further.

However, I'm unsure about how you are applying (your take on) Hanlon's Law to this thread and the opinions expressed herein (and also whose posts you are responding to).

Do you mean:

1) that the American government is stupid/innocent not malicious?
2) that the American people are stupid/innocent not malicious?
3) that so called "illegal immigrants" are stupid/innocent not malicious?
4) that Muslims are stupid/innocent and not malicious?
5) that your comments are stupid/innocent and not malicious? (and that's not a dig at you, I promise)
6) that the comments of other Barbelith members in this thread are stupid/innocent and not malicious?
7) that racism is often the product of stupidity/innocence not malice?
8) something else?

As I'm not sure how you're applying your version of Hanlon's Law to this thread, it is probably unfair of me to comment on your usage or adaption of it. However, my initial response to your version (and use) of Hanlon's Law is the importance of remembering the differences between "stupidity", "innocence", and "ignorance". But as I said, I'm not sure how you're applying this adage to this discussion, so...
 
 
ONLY NICE THINGS
07:30 / 20.07.06
I rather assumed that he meant that he was innocent (of history, economics and the facts surrounding immigration), rather than malicious. However, this isn't enormously relevant to talking about immigration.
 
  

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