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Personally, I think Hillary Clinton is an excellent choice if the Democrats want to lose the next election. The exit polls indicated that terrorism and morality were the key triggers for voter choice this time around, and Clinton's got too much association with immorality (via her husband) to pull it off with those voters. Given Bush's fundie agenda, I'm guessing those issues will only grow stronger in the coming years, as the division between church and state is challenged.
Obama, on the other hand, is a strong contender: he's a community activist with a very mixed family background (white & black parents, a half-Indonesian sister), powerful church ties and impressive public charisma. I don't think his youth will hurt him any more than it hurt Jack Kennedy; in fact, I think it would probably be a benefit.
The problem with abandoning the bridge-building moderates is that the Democrats really don't represent half (or more) of the nation - or at least, not the voting nation. Obama stands a good chance of mobilizing the minority vote in a way that's never been done before, but I think that's more likely if he's the front-runner than standing for vice.
As for discouraging youth voters - well, they might have registered, but they didn't show up at the polls in any greater numbers than in 2000. 1 in 10 voters in the 18-24 range actually voted, and the voters in the 30-44 age range was actually down from 2000.
Looking at the geographic split among voters, I'd be tempted to suggest that Democrats in the west coast and north-east states start looking into separating from the union. It's done wonders for getting concessions for Quebec in Canada, after all... |
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