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For instance, and this is slightly unfair, I realise, Mme Angelique:
But we do have extremely good reason to believe that just about every part of the "official" line on 9/11, Iraq etc. is a lie.
would lead us to discount this: We have no evidence that Saddam Hussein was involved with the 11 September attacks," Mr Bush told reporters as he met members of Congress on energy legislation.
Slightly unfair, indeed... you acknowledge the inclusion of "just about" in that sentence, and surely that phrase is enough to indicate that I wouldn't immediately dismiss anything the governments said; though as a general rule, the sentence does mean I would take a defaul stance of "highly skeptical" with regards to anything the governments say until further investigation/analysis/consideration. However, it doesn't take much further consideration to show that particular statement as true (or "with negligible chance of being untrue", or whatever); Bush's motivation for saying it would be incredibly difficult to ascertain if it weren't the case... I have the feeling he wouldn't be too quiet about it if he actually did have any evidence (even, "Some bloke in a pub told one of my weapons inspectors..." would seem to be sufficient)...
It is easy to take things and distort them to fit an easy view - that American Foreign policy is totally evil, or that all Arabs are terrorists, for instance.
... And again: not "totally evil". Just... well, "mostly evil". It's not a brush with which to tar any future declarations, but as it currently stands, for every area in which American foreign policy shines, a fine ethical example for all aspiring "civilised" people, there are about ten which range from "imperfect" to "horrific".
Some dusty notebook with a few equations and a centrifuge diagram, and we got ourselves a programme...
... Enough evidence, certainly, to appease those who want to believe the whole "it's about WMDs" thing. Which, worryingly, is probably enough to have a marked effect on opinion polls. *Sigh*...
Much of the most blatant speculation is fueled, in part, by this administration's apparant refusal to tell the truth about anything. Certainly, this cannot prove anything, but it is enough to set a mind thinking. And, after thinking about it too long, a mind might just decide that the worst must be true.
We can believe barely anything for certain, and therefore know nothing? I was intrigued to note at some point that psychological tests have "proven" that if people lack explanations for anything, they will almost invariably make anything up that fits in. Which seems fairly evident in conspiracy theory. And, if you look for it, in much of religion... (though usually, when an explanation in a holy book is discovered to be wrong, with pretty much irrefutable evidence, e.g. "The world was created three thousand years ago", the official line, other than a few fundamentalists continuing to shout, "No! It is true! It is! It is!", runs along the lines of, "Oh, it was only actually meant as a metaphor...". Er, take that to another thread?)
I do agree that most conspiracy theory is crazy BS.
Depends what counts as conspiracy theory, really. If the government says, "We are certain that Iraq is holding huge stockpiles of WMDs," and someone else says, "Er... I don't think so," it's... presumably technically a conspiracy. But pretty much anyone who knows a few of the facts would agree, so it's just taken more or less as granted... perhaps "most prolific, highly-debated conspiracy theory is..." would be more accurate.
To be an accessory to murder, you don't just have to know how the crime is going to go down, you also have to "encourage or assist".
And what counts as "assisting"? Does not acting as per protocol count? If a security guard usually locks a door every night, but, knowing that a friend is going to break in on one particular night, leaves it open instead, is he aiding the friend by not acting as the impediment he would usually be?
(Of course, all still hypothetical; whether or not the US government did intentionally do less than they usually would have in a similar situation remains up in the air...)
Can you prove that the administration had enough information to act effectively to prevent the attacks? If not, can you prove that they acted in any way differently than they would if they had no foreknowledge? If not, your accusation is baseless.
"No" the former, and "no" to the latter, too. But to say that an accusation is entirely baseless unless *proof* can be given for the foundations seems a little odd. If I had enough evidence to be twenty per cent sure of the former, or twenty per cent sure of the latter, would the accusation be baseless? What about if I were fifty per cent sure? Ninety? 99.99? That's surely incredibly black and white: if you can't be one hundred per cent certain, you have no grounds to argue anything. This is all conspiracy theory; if anyone had proof of the above statements, it would be established fact, not conjecture.
That is to say: conjecture like this - and conspiracy theory in general, seems to be about bolstering one's current social/political prejudice with baseless statements taken as fact.
But it's not taken as fact. As JRod says, assume nothing. It is, simply, a matter of possible explanations being put forward for debate. And although obviously it's not inherent in conspiracy theories to be backed by logical reason - one could assert that the whole world is run by giant lizards - in this case, the statements made aren't baseless - they are created from other statements which, with our current knowledge, have a not insignificant chance of being true.
How many people actually believe the theory that started this thread, ie that explosives were placed in the twin towers?
Does anyone? Though I'd give it, say, a 0.001% chance of being true, and if that's a reasonable figure, then it's perhaps enough to say one shouldn't just discount it. |
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