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Cold War 2, The Possibility of China

 
 
Grey Area
18:43 / 02.09.02
In the thread discussing the possibility of a cold war between the US and Europe, Chairman Maominstoat mentioned a third major player: The People's Republic of China.

So, could China replace the USSR as the Red Spectre of the 21st Century? Would a cold war between this isolationist, industrial juggernaut be similar to the US vs USSR cold war of the 20th Century? Or is there no possibility of a cold war because no nation wants to sever ties to the largest commercial market in the world? And finally, considering the technological achievements made during Cold War 1 and the comparatively stagnant pace of technological advancement now, would a new cold war possibly be beneficial to humanity as a whole?

I believe a case could be made for the technological advancement issue. Governments are notoriously lax in their support for research in the name of the good of all humanity. Throw in patriotism and what could be termed as a Superpower Keeping-Up-With-Jones', we could see a major boost to research projects that are currently merely floundering along. Yes, admittedly a lot of this research would initially be military in nature, but let's not forget that results from this will eventually trickle through to civilian applications.
 
 
Baz Auckland
15:01 / 05.09.02
I can see it if I don't think about anything but geography and politics, but with everyone in the WTO and China seeming to care more about the economy than being a superpower, I don't think it's likely. Wasn't China praised as well for it's help in the 'War On Terror'?

Of course, that all depends on what happens in the next year or so. If Iraq, Iran, etc. disappear as 'threats' to the US, they may very well pick China as a reason for more military spending.
 
 
Grey Area
18:00 / 05.09.02
The trend as far as praise for support in T.W.A.T. is concerned seems to be that the country that is lauded one day can just as easily be vilified the next.

If we consider the economic standpoint, China is perfectly capable of instituting an isolationist policy if it feels that trade contact with the rest of the world could jeopardise it's perceived political stability. Look at the way it tries to monitor and control the internet behaviour of its citizens, and the controlled way in which foreign industries are given access to Chinese markets.
 
 
STOATIE LIEKS CHOCOLATE MILK
19:57 / 05.09.02
This may be horribly simplistic, but...

the economy aside, the US is shit-scared of China. The last BIG bunch of commies, but suddenly- oh no, we're no longer trying to rid the world of communism. (Hence, in my more paranoid moments, my reasons for thinking the "accidental" bombing of the Chinese embassy, the "accidental" downing of a Chinese plane...

More later. Someone else needs the computer.
 
  
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