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"Alien stone" to wipe out Earth in 2019

 
 
Sax
09:11 / 24.07.02
Well, only seven years late, I suppose. Looks like apocalypse is in the air round these parts...

(from Ananova.com)

Asteroid could wipe out a
continent in 2019


Astronomers have found an asteroid that appears
to be on a collision course with Earth.

It has been described as the most threatening
object yet detected in space.

A preliminary orbit suggests that 2002 NT7 could
strike the planet on February 1, 2019.

The BBC reports astronomers have given NT7 a
threat rating on the Palermo technical scale of
0.06, making it the first object to be given a
positive value.

Although they say it merits attention, they expect
more observations to show it is not on an
Earth-intersecting trajectory.

The asteroid is estimated to be about two
kilometres wide, large enough to cause
continent-wide devastation on Earth.

It was first seen on the night of July 5 by the Linear
Observatory's automated sky survey programme
in New Mexico.

Dr Benny Peiser, of Liverpool John Moores
University, told BBC News Online: "This asteroid
has now become the most threatening object in
the short history of asteroid detection."

But he added: "This unique event should not
diminish the fact that additional observations in
coming weeks will almost certainly - we hope -
eliminate the current threat."

Dr Donald Yeomans, from the US space agency's
(Nasa) Jet Propulsion Laboratory in California,
said: "The error in our knowledge of where NT7 will
be on February 1, 2019, is large, several tens of
millions of kilometres."
 
 
Saveloy
09:34 / 24.07.02
Anyone else hear this on the Today prog on Radio 4 this morning? It was a classic example of an oft-repeated joke made real - the one where news of apocalypse is reported briefly and cheerfully right at (or near) the end of a bulletin, after lengthy and serious reports on men being bitten by dogs etc:

"...when his trousers fell down. He was 68. Oh, and by the way, we're all going to die. Now over to Jim - Jim, what've you done to the weather you old scallywag? *laughs*"

Astronomers have been talking about this a lot in recent years, and I vaguely recall some project being set up (national? international?) to look into ways to avert or cope with such an event. Anyone able to confirm or deny that?
 
 
A
10:14 / 24.07.02
Who wants to live in a world without Barbelith? Bring it on, I say.
 
 
We're The Great Old Ones Now
13:06 / 24.07.02
More news here and here.

It appears we may survive naturally, but it's such a great opportunity to spend a vast sum of money and justify serious missile research, I imagine there'll be a goodly bit of interest in combine circles.
 
 
Saveloy
13:39 / 24.07.02
Maybe it's because nothing has been confirmed yet, but I can't help thinking about this in a detached, sci-fi-what-if? way. Like, we've had threats to our survival before - nuclear war, ecological disaster etc - but what makes this, ahem, interesting, is that not only will it be out of our hands but it'll be the first one with a f***ing deadline, a delivery date.

Imagine if the boffins disagree about the chance of impact, or about where on the Earth it will hit and how badly the world will be affected - how will that affect human activity in the preceeding years?
 
 
Our Lady of The Two Towers
16:48 / 24.07.02
6Music was the same this morning. "Astronomers have find a large asteroid that could kill us all. and in music news, Liam Gallagher called everyonme a twat again."

Still, Lembit Opik has gone around being very smug today saying "I told you so, but did you listen...?"
 
 
STOATIE LIEKS CHOCOLATE MILK
16:58 / 24.07.02
saveloy- yeah, I heard it on "Today". While half-asleep. Then went back to sleep and forgot about it. Then saw it on one of those sandwich-board things they have outside newsagents. And thought I was living in a comic.

They should set John Humphrys on it. He could have an asteroid any day.
 
 
Slim
17:30 / 24.07.02
I think this calls for us to start training a team of wacky-yet-somehow-capable team of offshore oilmen so that we can send them on a rocket to blow the hell out the meteor with a style that combines humor, sadness and some touching life lessons.
 
 
bio k9
18:00 / 24.07.02
Id be suprised if they didnt try to send a crew up there to aim the asteroid at the middle east.
 
 
invisible_al
21:28 / 24.07.02
Ah wonder when this will get on Channel 5 'When Asteroids ATTACK!' or somesuch. Saw the best quote from our man, Lembik Optik on teletext, something like "I know saying this makes me sound like the man with a sandwich board saying the end is nigh. But the end is nigh."
Heh why can't we have more people like him in parliment .
Wonder how many scares like this will happen before we get bored, well at least all that money we've spent on asteroid tracking systems seem to be working. And just in time for the summer silly seaon in the press, they're loving it.
 
 
Stone Mirror
23:03 / 24.07.02
Just for the sake of perspective, it's worth noting that the likelihood of 2002-NT7 colliding with us has been given a rating of 0.06 on the Palermo Technical Impact Hazard Scale. While this is significant in that this particular chunk o' rock is the first asteroid to be given a positive Palermo rating, Palermo is a logarithmic scale, so what this amounts to saying is that the best current guess is that 2002-NT7 is 1.15 times more likely to hit Earth than a random, free-floating chunk of rock of comparable size would be in the intervening time--not a terrifically high probability event at this stage. No one is calling up ("ringing up" for the Anglophones in the audience) Bruce Willis just yet...

(Admittedly, NASA does say that "Potential impacts with positive Palermo Scale values will generally indicate situations that merit some level of concern".)

If it does hit us, I'll probably be really pissed off that I quit smoking.
 
 
Our Lady of The Two Towers
17:11 / 25.07.02
I get the feeling that some people in the BBC Talking Point on the asteroid news aren't taking this seriously (look halfway down for 'Rob, UK's contribution, and then at the last one...).
 
 
STOATIE LIEKS CHOCOLATE MILK
17:28 / 25.07.02
I liked the "big galleons" idea, I have to say!
 
 
Sax
07:49 / 26.07.02
I say we go live on it. And then embark on a magical tour of the universe.
 
 
netbanshee
15:55 / 26.07.02
hmmm...Sax got me thinking. Not live on it per se, but if it's close enough there might be an opportunity to send things to it and study it. Of course if it does get a bit 'closer', then we better be studying other things.
 
 
Our Lady of The Two Towers
16:35 / 26.07.02
It would be useful if it could be deflected and crashed into Mars, help it get a greenhouse effect going...
 
 
cusm
20:21 / 29.07.02
Nothing to see here, please move along...
 
 
Saint Keggers
05:15 / 30.07.02

Astronomers have found an asteroid that appears
to be on a collision course with Earth.

To quote The Tick: "Egad, I hope not. Thats where I keep all my stuff!"
 
  
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