BARBELITH underground
 

Subcultural engagement for the 21st Century...
Barbelith is a new kind of community (find out more)...
You can login or register.


The Nuclear Doctrine - When is the use of nuclear weaponry justified?

 
 
ONLY NICE THINGS
09:40 / 28.07.06
Elsewhere, Dragon said of nuclear weaponry, explaining why it was OK for the US to have a vast nuclear arsenal but not for annyone else:

America's will never use a hydrogen bomb. I don't foresee any event that would demand it. Countries that work to create such a weapon, do so for face and for leverage. Some think N Korea already has such a bomb; I disagree. A leader of such a country would demonstrate it at the first opportunity.

and then, in response to Quantum's:

But that just means they are bigger nuclear bombs. Of course they'd drop them.


Asked:

Quantum, what scenario would you envision the US using such a weapon? It is indiscriminate. Use of such a weapon is not in our philosophy.

Very kindly not rotting the thread further, Quantum chose the Q&A thread to respond, pointing out that we do not need to envision such scenarios, since the US Department of Defense has very kindly provided them for us, in the Nuclear Posture Review.

This, of course, is only with reference to strategic nuclear weapons. It has been stated fairly regularly that conditions under which tactical ("battlefield") nuclear weaponry would be used are beiing reviewed, along with the idea that there might be a case for developing new tactical nuclear weapons specifically designed for hardened emplacements - "bunker busters".

We might also look at the extensive use of depleted uranium bullets, which are the subject of extensive suspicion for the part they are alleged to play in rates of cancer in areas with extensive DUP usage.

So, what do we see as the role of nuclear weaponry on and above the modern battlefield? In the absence of a likely shooting war between nuclear superpowers, how do nuclear weapons work?
 
 
Char Aina
10:45 / 28.07.06
this was posted to another thread, but as this seems to be the new venue for discussing the use of nuclear weaponry, i reproduce it here.
i talk mostly about america, and also cover biological weaponry.
i'll leave it as it is, and will ask for an edit later on depending on which way the topic goes.





as here:


i'm not willing to accept that the entire american populace can be characterised too simply, but i would like to examine the belief expressed by dragon that america is a country unlikely to use nuclear and biological weapons mostly based, it seems, on hir belief that the Use of such a weapon is not in [america's] philosophy.

as the only nation on earth to have thrown nuclear bombs at a civilian poulation as a tactic of war, i think it is fair to say that they have precedent.

people can do horrific things.
to suggest that americans would not be just like people and do horrific things is, i think, ridiculous.
even if they had not already perpetrated one of the greatest atrocities of the 20th century, i think it would still be ludicrous to assume that they necessarily would not.

i think that to have the impression of your own country as a nation apart is dangerous, and i wonder how many americans share this self-conception of dragon's.
the american populace is often characterised in the media of other nations as being out of touch and unaware of it's own footprint on the world. the idea that americans arent able to find most countries on a map, let alone tell you what their own nation is doing to them is a common one.

i wonder how true this view of americans is in general, how much the population is blithely unaware of their own nation's history of aggression and intervention.

(clearly other countries are just as bad in lots of ways.
america is just people, and people are bad.
the only difference i see with america is that historical accident has led them to a place where they have a higher capability for destruction than most, and more political room to use it.)






quantum linked to this article over in conversation, and i think it might be of use to anyone who has read what i have just written as unrealistic.


some more links that may be of interest;

the nuclear wepaon archive

death by american bombing and other democicide
and from the same source
was world war II
american urban bombing
democide?


"from george washington to george bush, biological weapons have been part of american history"

US army plans to bulk-buy anthrax, despite the fact that under the terms of the [Convention on the Prohibition of the Development, Production and Stockpiling of Bacteriological (Biological) and Toxin Weapons and on Their Destruction], the parties[,including america,] undertake not to develop, produce, stockpile, or acquire biological agents or toxins "of types and in quantities that have no justification for prophylactic, protective, and other peaceful purposes," as well as weapons and means of delivery.
i can see how you might think otherwise, because In January 1976, all heads of Federal departments and agencies certified to the President that as of December 26, 1975, their respective departments and agencies were in full compliance with the convention.
it appears they have had a change of heart.

THE US biological warfare and biological defense programs (PDF)
 
 
Triumvir
16:51 / 28.07.06
There's a simple reason why America can have nuclear/biological/chemical weapons and other countries can't. The reason goes as follows: Might makes right. We are by far the most powerful nation in the world in the military sphere, and we have a fair bit of economic pull as well. The sun never sets on pax americana, so to speak. Thus, we can do whatever we please until China or India or something topples us and then rewrites all the history books.
 
 
sleazenation
19:35 / 28.07.06
So, Triumvir do you actually believe that the US will give up its nuclear weapons once China becomes the economically dominant superpower?
 
 
bacon
21:36 / 28.07.06
...if china becomes...

since we have the most nuclear weapons, the most well maintained nuclear weapons, the most advanced nuclear weapons, and are the only nation to have ever used nuclear weapons offensively, we must be the most likely nuclear power to use nuclear weapons offensively

if my logic is sound
 
 
Alex's Grandma
23:09 / 28.07.06
Once China becomes the economically dominant superpower

'If,' surely? The tide of history would suggest it's possible, maybe even likely, but there are any number of influential, and highly motivated characters in the States who would beg to differ, and they're not inclined to back down about much these days, it seems.

If the American Right is ever going to use the serious material in it's nuclear arsenal (and I'm not for a second suggestng it should,) then China would seem like the obvious candidate. If the US Empire falls, which it might do, then it's not going to down out without a struggle, and the destructive capability it has at it's fingertips is such that it's no good comparing it to the Roman or British versions, say - If the military or economic primacy of the USA is ever seriously threatened (the situations in the Middle East currently are essentially a sideshow, really, if a costly and embarrassing one to the administration,) then it seems as if almost anything could happen.
 
 
bacon
23:21 / 28.07.06
not almost, anything
 
 
Dragon
23:43 / 28.07.06
toksik, Why would anyone be concerned about a non-virulent strain of anthrax being bought in quantity?
 
 
Dragon
00:33 / 29.07.06
Haus, I think the attitudes reflected in some of the comments in Barbelith means that what we are 'supposed to think' is what we are thinking. In that respect, the message given has been successful, especially since the nuclear program is intended to be a deterrent. The United States likes to flex its muscles now and then to make a point. Otherwise why say anything?
 
 
Quantum
11:30 / 29.07.06
the nuclear program is intended to be a deterrent.

Dragon, I suggest you read the link to the pentagon review where they explicitly state that the reserves are far above what's needed for a deterrent.
The US, "as it draws its nuclear forces toward the goal of 1,700-2,200 operationally deployed strategic nuclear warheads announced by President Bush on November 13, 2001" is REDUCING it's nuclear arsenal to a size that is only enough to totally destroy Russia in a head to head war, a cold war position. REDUCING to that level, right now they have far far more.
A deterrent position would require a few hundred missiles. Bush is aiming at 2000. Do the math. It's not a deterrent, it's a guarantee that the entire world could be radioactive dust if anything goes wrong. But don't take my word for it, here's a linked quote for you from the Christian Science Monitor;
oddly, the only targets that could necessitate the 1,700-2,200 warheads called for in the Nuclear Posture Review are the 1,500 nuclear weapons that Russia is expected to keep. No other military contingency – even a nuclear conflict with China – requires more than a few hundred warheads. In other words, the "new" US nuclear posture is still based on the ability to fight a nuclear war with Russia.
The US would be far better served by adopting a genuinely new nuclear posture, one that maintains nuclear weapons only to deter a nuclear attack. Given the awesome power of US conventional forces, we do not need nuclear weapons for any other purpose, even to deter a chemical or biological attack."

Wake up dude, you are being lied to by whoever's telling you these things.
 
 
Char Aina
12:29 / 29.07.06
it seems a little like you went for what you saw as the easy point, dragon. i'll hope you did so because you hadn't the time to answer the others, and futher hope you will acknowledge them fully soon. the anthrax was a side point, to be honest.

i wil still answer you, though.

toksik, Why would anyone be concerned about a non-virulent strain of anthrax being bought in quantity?

quoting from the rest of the article(which i appreciate ou may not want to subscribe for);

numerous contracts that relate to the U.S. army's Dugway Proving Ground in Utah, in which they ask companies to tender for the production of huge quantities of a non-virulent strain of anthrax, and equipment to produce of other biological agents.
...
One "biological services" contract specifies: "The company must have the ability and be willing to grow Bacillus anthracis Sterne strain at 1500-litre quantities."




if you can make one strain, you have exactly the equipment you need to make the other strains, different only by a tweak of genetics.

i'd like to trust the US military to be cool about the whole thing, i just find that really difficult on previous form.
and if another nation did the same thing, tendering contracts for anthrax vats, it would probably be seen as cause to invade them.

Whatever use it is put to, however, the move could be seen as highly provocative by other nations, he says. "What would happen to the Biological Weapons Convention if other countries followed suit and built large biological production facilities at secretive military bases known for weapons testing?"
 
 
Phex: Dorset Doom
13:18 / 30.07.06
To answer the thread title: against a big asteroid, otherwise I can't see any situation that might arise in the foreseeable future where anybody, even 'rogue states' like North Korea and Iran, would actually use a nuclear weapon. Even those fabled 'suitcase nukes' (which take six strong men to lift, hardly something you can take aboard an aeroplane) have failed to materialise in the hands of terrorist groups and if they did who would the U.S nuke in retaliation? Unless there was pretty solid intelligence (of much higher quality than that which 'justified' the Iraq war) linking the nuke to Iran/North Korea there just wouldn't be a target.

Then there's the public and diplomatic fallout (no pun intended) if a nuclear weapon was used, no matter what the conditions. On the public side, every major U.S would break out into demonstrations which would quickly become riots, the national guard would be deployed, habeus corpus suspended, some twitchy 18 year old Guardsman with a rifle would panic and unload into a crowd, cue more riots and protestors arming themselves, the constitution is suspended, 'Patriotic' militias would either turn their guns on those dern liberal protestors or take the declaration of a national emergency as a sign of a New World Order/Zionist/Major League Baseball takeover and start bombing government buildings, liberal groups would militarise and do the same, dogs and cats would start living together...
Abroad every U.S embassy would be smoldering rubble in a very short time, U.S citizens would be killed in the streets, the whole world would boycott U.S products. International condemnation would be massive. There may even be talk of a Euro-Chinese-Russian alliance to change America's regime.
Basically, the risks would be so huge that no U.S President in his (or her, in Hillary's case) right mind would ever consider it and if they did I'd like to think U.S Nuclear forces would resist the order as best they could. There would be at least one link in the chain with enough foresight to prevent a launch.
 
 
Phex: Dorset Doom
13:21 / 30.07.06
(Oh, and there would be a similar reaction to the U.S using biological or chemical weapons, so I think we can discount the possibility of all that Anthrax being used in combat)
 
 
Quantum
13:29 / 30.07.06
Then there's the public and diplomatic fallout

The U.S. doesn't seem to have paid much atention to that recently, they could probably spin it to their advantage. What was that figure, 50% of Americans thought WMDs had been found in Iraq? Imagine North Korea invaded South Korea as a reason to launch, they could frame that as cleansing terror from the earth. or something.
 
 
Phex: Dorset Doom
15:39 / 30.07.06
Well, it doesn't take more than a few people to start off a chain of events that would lead to the scenario above. Regardless of the situation there would be protests, some may even become violent -how many Los Angelinos were involved in the Rodney King riots? It must be only a small percentage, maybe even less than one percent, but it shut a city down, imagine that in every city, with people who aren't even part of the protests getting involved to loot, stage anti-protests in support of the government or 'police' their neighbourhoods. The consequences would be disasterous.
 
 
paranoidwriter waves hello
17:10 / 30.07.06
I get your point, Phex, and I'd love to think that such a show of people-power would work, but doesn't that rely on:

1) a huuuuge number (the majority) of people protesting? - And by that, I mean governments seem very able to convince large numbers of citizens that certain unjust military actions are for the greater good. Of course, a nuclear war is far more devastating than (erm?) conventional warfare, but still...

2) The American Government listening to such demonstrations? i.e. they might justify them as being only a small "vocal" minority of the US populace; or they might feel "God" is on their side and wants them to drop the bombs; or they might press the button in the middle of a rather nasty war (e.g. WW2) and not inform the people of the details because of "National Security"; etc.

Please don't get me wrong, I'm not being anti-US* , I just don't feel I can rely on American democracy to safe-guard those I love from some madmen "pressing the button". Indeed, I'd much rather nobody has nuclear weapons. But as long as the US/UK/China/France/etc have them I can't expect other countries to not want to reach an equal footing (no matter what I think of their politics).

For me (similar to toksik, Quantum, and other, above), the whole "we can be trusted to have them and wouldn't possibly use them in extreme circumstances" type of stance crumbles whenever I remember the words: Hiroshima and Nagasaki. And you can bet your life that Iran's leaders have similar concerns.


* I'm not exactly proud of UK democracy or our government either.
 
 
Dragon
13:58 / 01.08.06
Quantum, Do the math. It's not a deterrent, it's a guarantee that the entire world could be radioactive dust if anything goes wrong. My point is, why would our government publicize it if not for deterrent purposes? Nobody is lying to me, it's just my own thinking. I don't agree with what they're doing (per the article). And, I think the use of even one bomb, say in Iran, for example, would be political suicide of a type that our country cannot take.
 
 
Pingle!Pop
14:15 / 01.08.06
Erm, Phex? The US has used very nasty chemical weapons (white phosphorus) very recently (more descriptive links can be provided on request). Did I miss all the riots?
 
 
sdv (non-human)
15:57 / 01.08.06
Some very strange logic going on here.

As we know only 'democracies' have ever used nuclear weapons against other states. In addition only democracies have come close (cuban missle crisis and the vietnam war), in fact have EVER come close to the use of nuclear weapons...

The idea then that quoting the concept of 'democracy' as a safeguard. Not a relevant concept. Not a relevant concept.
 
 
paranoidwriter waves hello
17:19 / 01.08.06
sdv, The idea then that quoting the concept of 'democracy' as a safeguard. Not a relevant concept. Not a relevant concept.

Could you be more specific as to which posts your addressing? I'm a little confused.
 
 
Char Aina
20:56 / 02.08.06
it seems like sdv is arguing with someone ze would like to argue with, rather than someone who is here.

am i wrong, sdv?
 
  
Add Your Reply