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Privatizing the War on Terror

 
 
Phex: Dorset Doom
20:29 / 20.07.06
I had one of those 'perfect storm' moments today when two articles managed to hit me with opposing viewpoints in the space of an hour: an Interview with Chet Richards, a retired Air Force Reserve colonel and author of the book 'Neither Shall the Sword: Conflict in the Years Ahead', and 'For a fistful of dollars', by BB Timberlake in the August 2006 issue of Esquire (UK). (Reading both articles isn't necessary)

The last part of the Reason interview and the entirety of the Esquire article concerns itself with 'Private Security Companies' (PSCs), essentially large mercenary outifts. There are currently around 25,000 armed contractors in Iraq, most are former soldiers who have difficulty adjusting to life on 'Civvy street' or are looking to clear debts, recruited through 'The Circuit'- their name for a web of connections made during Military life that acts as a job market once army life has ended.

According to Chet Richards: "We're spending half a trillion dollars, and when you look around, who's it going to defend us from? It didn't defend us from Al Qaeda. What are all these armored divisions doing out there, these mech divisions, all this other stuff that's basically left over from the Cold War and for that matter even World War II? I couldn't think of a good reason...If you look back through human history, this monopoly of force by the state, even in Europe, came along pretty recently. Privateers were legal up until the early 1900s. Up until then, much of the world's naval power was provided by private security companies...This gets into my natural loathing of monopolies. What we need in the United States is a way to harness creativity and initiative and entrepreneurship to solve at least a chunk of the problem of national security. Why leave that in the hands of state-sponsored bureaucracy, which has proven to be the least efficient, the least creative, the least dynamic sector of our society?"

According to Richards employing PSEs solves many of the problems Coalition forces are facing in Iraq- they're accountable (no more Abu Gharibs), efficient and adaptable. They police themselves: "If Blackwater starts doing things that are too egregious, there's an incentive for a Triple Canopy to rat them out. The Second Armored Cav doesn't have any incentive to rat out the Third Armored Cav"

The Esquire article, written from Iraq, paints a different picture: the current PSEs on the ground are cowboys as bad as the U.S forces, sometimes worse. There is talk (at a pool party in the Green Zone where many of the guests are armed) of new recruits being taken on drive-by shooting sprees to get 'blooded', the 'Aegis video' showing contractors indiscriminately firing at cars on a Baghdad freeway and the rich kids using daddy's diplomatic contacts to have a jolly good adventure out in the desert running the PSEs. It's not a pretty picture, and it's just the tip of the iceberg.

And yet I can't help but think that Richards still has a point. Perhaps the relative lack of funding and legitimacy of PSEs means the job attracts the wrong crowd- the washouts, dishonorables discharges and Walter Mittys. Perhaps with serious investment PSEs could be the much-needed change to the Military that would prevent another Iraq and make 'Fourth Generation' wars winnable by the (relatively) good guys. The interviewer in the Reason article also floats the possibility of PSEs being contracted for humanitarian missions, in Darfur for instance, where governments won't get involved.

Your thoughts?
 
 
grime
21:57 / 20.07.06
hi phex, great thread idea!

i've always been fscinated by PSCs, mainly because i've always wanted one of my own!

i never really thought about them as an alternative to the government's monopoly on force. it's a fascinating challenge to something a lot of people take for granted and i'm definately no fan of big government.

the two main problems with PSCs taking a larger security and national defense role that i can think of, are profit and accountability.

firstly, as private companies they need to work for profit. while my first instinct as head of a PSC would be to clean up darfur, i'm not sure that there would be anyone to pay the bills.

that the rich get better security services from the government isn't anything new. but to replace the governemnt's force monopoly with an open market would give the wealthy sole access to the most advanced and powerful companies.

secondly, if the rich have the best PSCs, who's to stop them from doing whatever they want? they pretty much do whatever they want now, but this sounds like a world with no checks or balances. private armies with no government control and conflicting agendas lead quickly to some bad chaos. this the biggest problem in places like lebanon and iraq.

the question i'm now pondering, is how to establish a market driven security / defense industry without having my neighbors bomb me for playing my music too loud?
 
 
elene
07:18 / 21.07.06
Perhaps with serious investment PSEs could be the much-needed change to the Military that would prevent another Iraq and make 'Fourth Generation' wars winnable by the (relatively) good guys. The interviewer in the Reason article also floats the possibility of PSEs being contracted for humanitarian missions, in Darfur for instance, where governments won't get involved.

I don't see the logical connection between the USA choosing to spend half a trillion a year on its military and the need for PSEs. I don't see any indication whatsoever that competition between the likes of Triple Canopy and Blackwater is leading to higher ethical standards, or any at all, in Iraq. We can just forget that one. Iraq was not a 4GW and isn't really one now either, even after we've stomped it and broken it, so how're PSE's supposed to help win the - oh please - Iraq-like conflicts of the future? Do you want private armies capable of taking down a regime like Saddam's (and that means almost anyone's) riding about the world doing the will of purely profit-oriented private corporations?

What advantages do PSEs have over states in 4GW, Phex, and who do you imagine paying them to do what exactly in Darfur. How would they engage Hezbollah and why would that be intrinsically more likely lead to success than Israel's techniques. Do you have any reason to imagine those involved in the Iraq conflict are not typical mercenaries?
 
 
Not in the Face
07:48 / 21.07.06
Isn't one of the reasons why states ultimately dumped private mercenary armies was that generally they weren't terribly reliable at actually winning wars?

Perhaps the best example of this in European history is the condottiere who dominated Italian medieval military history, were generally unreliable and ultimately thrashed by the machinery of 'modern' states of France and Spain with their national armies.

I think the attraction of these PSE's in this day and age is that they seem to offer the opportunity of cutting back on maintenance of regular armies, one of the constant arguments behind outsourcing but I think if Chet Richards believes this will harness creativity and initiative and entrepreneurship he needs to take a look at the actual results that were achieved through the use of mercenary contractors.
 
 
Kiltartan Cross
08:02 / 21.07.06
The condottieri were also renowned for prosecuting "wars" and "battles" with an almost total absence of bloodshed. Kayfabe wars, even. I don't think there've been any modern parallels to that setup, except, perhaps, the proxy conflicts of the Cold War.
 
 
Not in the Face
09:11 / 21.07.06
The condottieri were also renowned for prosecuting "wars" and "battles" with an almost total absence of bloodshed. Kayfabe wars, even. I don't think there've been any modern parallels to that setup, except, perhaps, the proxy conflicts of the Cold War.

Was that because of their ability as soldiers or because of the relative power between the condottieri and the city-states? Without any alternative to hiring mercenaries the city states were locked into a pattern of warfare that was in the interests of those mercenaries (i.e. minimising the chance of either side getting killed). This in turn supported the fractured political landscape of Italy. The condottieri were certainly entrepreneurial but only as far as making life comfortable for themselves.
 
 
Phex: Dorset Doom
11:58 / 21.07.06
Elene Iraq was not a 4GW and isn't really one now either

Most would disagree with that- the Wikipedia Entry for 4GW cites Iraq as a 4GW conflict (along with the Troubles in Northern Ireland and the Kosovo war) and provides a definition "any war in which one of the major participants is not a state but rather a violent ideological network", which is clearly the situation in Iraq since the initial invasion (Coalition vs. Iraqi army, a conventional state vs. state conflict) ended.

I don't see any indication whatsoever that competition between the likes of Triple Canopy and Blackwater is leading to higher ethical standards, or any at all, in Iraq

Me neither, and I have no reason to believe that those currently involved in Iraq are anything but 'typical mercenaries', which is why the Esquire article is cited (apologies to those of you who can't or don't want to get hold of a copy, but I can't provide much more than excerpts without violating copyright laws) and why I'm conflicted over this issue, and ultimately why I started this thread. I will point out that at no point do I, or Chet Richards for that matter, advocate private armies for corporations- those are a plot point in cyberpunk novels, not something I can see happening in the real world. Though some companies (Shell Oil and Coca Cola off the top of my head) have used mercenaries before, and corporate espionage provided by groups similar to PSEs is common, the risks are too great for their large-scale usage precisely because of a well-justified public bias against their use that would send shareholders and customers running. (Ideally of course, it didn't happen to Coca Cola and Shell)
What Richards advocates in the article is the 'outsourcing' or privatisation of some, not all, of the military's activities to private enterprises for the simple reason that change and accountability are needed and, hypothetically, private enterprises can provide this much quicker than a state-run military at (again hypothetically) a lower cost to the taxpayer at a time of spiralling national debt and an over-inflated military budget that's not producing results.
As to the ethics of PSEs, it is possible (that's an important word, meaning 'what I propse might be true, it might not, I can't be sure') that because of the current belief (largely warranted) that PSEs are sleazy, ethically bankrupt mercenary outfits the proffession only attracts sleazy, ethically bankrupt mercenaries (which are certainly the kind of people the writer of the Esquire article encounters; it reads like a Tom Clancy novel ghostwritten by Bret Easton Ellis). Think of prohibition in the United States- an industry is borderline illegal, totally illegal in some areas, and the result is Tommy Guns and Al Capone, it becomes legal and the idea of alcohol manufacturers killing each other seems absurd. Maybe (another important word) the same process could happen to PSEs if government monopoly on the use of force is diminished.
 
 
elene
12:48 / 21.07.06
"any war in which one of the major participants is not a state but rather a violent ideological network"

No, it's a guerrilla war against an occupying force. Certainly there are minor actors such as the late al-Zarqawi who are ideologically motivated, but most are not and such a mixture is no different to that of the résistance nationale and résistance antinazie in occupied France, which I've never heard described as fourth generation conflict.

private armies for corporations - those are a plot point in cyberpunk novels, not something I can see happening in the real world.

Really? I've listened to a lot of this kind of dismissive argumentation lately, Phex. I'm a bit jaded. What did Richards say?

    Reason: Private security companies can be used for ill, too. ... How do you
    guard against that?

    CR: You can't outlaw human nature. It's gonna happen. There is no doubt in my
    mind that there's going to be abuses. ...

    I'm not sure private military companies, the way we have them right now, are
    going to evolve into what I'm talking about. They might. But they bring a lot of
    baggage with them.

He's not sure it'll work, Phex, but he is sure there'll be abuses.
 
 
grant
13:00 / 21.07.06
You should probably listen to this 2004 episode of "This American Life".

Nancy Updike traveled to Iraq and hung out with the "private contractors," interviewing them and finding out why they were there and what they were like.

"I'm from the private sector and I'm here to help" is what the episode is called.

Although I heard that piece when it first aired, I found that *link* on this reading list on private contractors, which doubtless has more of value.
 
 
Phex: Dorset Doom
13:48 / 21.07.06
elene, you asked 'Do you (meaning me, Phex, not Chet Richards) want private armies capable of taking down a regime like Saddam's (and that means almost anyone's) riding about the world doing the will of purely profit-oriented private corporations?.
I most assuredly do not, but to me it's a hypothetical question since I can't see any scenario beyond the occasional Coca-Cola/Shell abuses taking place in the foreseeable future. The quote you selected also doesn't pertain to corporate armies, which neither the interviewer nor Richards mention (clearly they haven't read Neal Stephenson's seminal essay on AmeriKKKan capitali$m Snow Crash), but to any abuse of PSEs, most likely (if I may second guess Mr. Richards) by governments.

grant- mucho gracias for the links. I'll have a read, as should anybody interested in this subject.
 
 
elene
14:34 / 21.07.06
OK, I'm scaling back my expectations, Phex. So this has nothing to do with fighting more effectively but merely more cost effectively. 4GW is just thrown in there because it sounds cool and is current. We're talking about outsourcing, basically.

One of the main reasons mercenaries haven't been used more often is a lack of quality control, of predictability. It's been very fly-by-night, very insecure. If that changes, a lot of managers come in to measure every parameter for efficiency and so on, I can see rented military force becoming far more attractive, real competition for buying corrupt leaders in some cases.

What will stop them using such firms to secure resources somewhere, especially if it's ostensibly handled via a third person (like a corrupt leader)? I see a tool for some profitable enterprises.

From the Brookings Institution article in grant's (very useful) list:

Similar problems can occur with PMFs' clientele. Although military contractors have worked for democratic governments, the UN, and even humanitarian and environmental organizations, they have also been employed by dictatorships, rebel groups, drug cartels, and, prior to September 11, 2001, at least two al Qaeda-linked jihadi groups. A recent episode in Equatorial Guinea illustrates the problems that PMFs can run into in the absence of external guidance or rules. In March 2004, Logo Logistics, a British-South African PMF, was accused of plotting to overthrow the government in Malabo; a planeload of employees was arrested in Zimbabwe, and several alleged funders in the British aristocracy (including Sir Mark Thatcher, the son of Margaret Thatcher) were soon implicated in the scandal. The plotters have been accused of trying to topple Equatorial Guinea's government for profit motives. But their would-be victim, President Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo, is a corrupt dictator who took power by killing his uncle and runs one of the most despicable regimes on the continent--hardly a sympathetic victim.

I don't want to get stuck here, Phex, but this isn't science fiction.
 
 
Ticker
15:32 / 21.07.06
The Blackwater Company was deployed in during the aftermath of Katrina in NOLA.

Washington Post Article

The Blackwater Company

There has always been something unsettling about the idea of a person who kills for money above and beyond a cause or to defend their home and their country.

What does it say when cash alone decides who lives and who dies?
 
 
Quantum
10:58 / 22.07.06
Shell chief 'had a private army'

That's a story from 2004, but here's one more relevant;
"Occupation authorities in Iraq have awarded a $293 million contract effectively creating the world's largest private army to a company headed by Lieutenant Colonel Tim Spicer, a former officer with the Scots Guard, an elite regiment of the British military, who has been investigated for illegally smuggling arms and planning military offensives to support mining, oil, and gas operations around the world."

It does seem that mercenaries and private security are used for the more morally dubious projects. Notably protecting oil interests.
 
 
All Acting Regiment
09:14 / 25.07.06
The condottieri were also renowned for prosecuting "wars" and "battles" with an almost total absence of bloodshed. Kayfabe wars, even. I don't think there've been any modern parallels to that setup, except, perhaps, the proxy conflicts of the Cold War.

Am I reading you correctly? The Cold War = Bloodless? Maybe you should talk to some Cambodians and Chileans.
 
 
Kiltartan Cross
15:46 / 25.07.06
"They're your peace prize, Doctor K."

Am I reading you correctly? The Cold War = Bloodless?

Heh, yes, you were. It's an anthropic principle: the only historical conflict between two superpowers with forty thousand thermonuclear warheads that we can describe is one which is relatively bloodless; a Hot War would've killed us all, or near as damnit. Perhaps we're safer now.
 
 
All Acting Regiment
12:33 / 01.08.06
So, what? The violent actions of Pol Pot and Pinochet, all directly backed up by the major superpowers in the cold war, manage to not count somehow? Are you a fucking idiot? How can you describe a period and conflict of interests that involved the brutal, violent deaths of more than 1.5 to 3 million in Cambodia alone as "bloodless"?
 
 
Dead Megatron
12:55 / 01.08.06
Well, it was not entirely "bloodless". There was indeed bloodshed in enormous quantities, but usualy "by proxy". Citizens of the two cold-warring nations, the USA and the USSR, were relatively unharmed during the whole 40+ years it lasted (except for soldiers, of course).

One could also argue that such violent wars, such as Pol Pot's "cleansing", although backed by one or another of the superpowers, were not part of the cold war per se (or directly), but a consequence of it. I don't agree with that assessment, but one could argue it.
 
 
Closed for Business Time
19:24 / 04.10.07
Oct. 4 (Bloomberg) -- Legislation to expand the jurisdiction of U.S. courts over government contractors overseas was approved by the House two days after security company Blackwater USA was called before lawmakers because of shootings in Iraq.

The House voted 389-30 to approve the measure, which expands U.S. court jurisdiction over all contractors working in overseas war zones. The law now applies only to contractors working for the Defense Department.

Michigan Democratic Representative John Conyers said the legislation closes a ``serious gap'' that will ensure ``those acting in our name will be held accountable.''

Hrmph.

So Blackwater and all the other contractors will supposedly now fall under the jurisdiction of US civilian courts, and last month's shootings in Baghdad will be investigated, probed in fact by the FBI. Yes, one can certainly hope.

It seems that if W. Lind, J. Robb and the rest of the ideologues of 4th generation warfare are right, PSCs are here to stay along with the normalisation of guerilla or assymetric warfare, the decline of state monopoly on organised violence and the return of social networks based combat. So first question, do we agree with this analysis? And second, if so, what challenges does these developments propose to the legal and political framework that has coevolved alongside mechanised warfare, industrial capitalism and the evolution of human rights from WW2 onwards?

In effect, can private warfare be introduced and integrated into the just war regime that supposedly is the yardstick against which the oft claimed justice of modern war is measured? On the surface it seems to me that both PSCs and guerilla/4GW combatants flout several of the jus ad bellum criteria - specifically guerillas often flout the criteria of last resort, legitimate authority, and in certain cases of minor terrorist and guerilla combat orgs, the probability of success. PSCs could end up worse, especially if they would increasngly escape efficient legal oversight, which somehow seems quite likely, yet allowed to operate freely as corporate entities.

Views?
 
 
elene
18:58 / 05.10.07
In my opinion, no one has ever sent an army into the field because it was the right thing to do. Indeed, although it might at least be pleasing to imagine war always following the dictates of realpolitik, most wars are fought either according to ideological imperatives or simply as games, in the hope of winning.

War is the attempt to bend one's opponent to one's will by acts of violence. If that sounds moral to you then you've likely never been punched hard in the kidneys.

The reality of what people call 4GW is an epidemic of armed gangs. This is, and has always been, the natural condition of a failed state. Whether the gang is owned by legitimate corporations or criminal or terrorist (i.e. ideological) organisations is of little issue. They represent a fatal flaw in any state.

I think it's generally been found good that as few people as possible are in a position to wage war.
 
 
Closed for Business Time
22:35 / 05.10.07
Realpolitik, if partially defined as the waging of war in a manner consistent with a pragmatist, goal-oriented strategy, is nothing but playing a game. Certain games rely on probabilities and this is an essential part of realpolitikal war.

And you seem to contradict yourself when you say that wars are both motivated by ideological imperatives and amoral. Does not ideology imply morality and vice versa?

Further, you claim that an epidemic of armed gangs is the natural condition (I presume you mean result?) of a failed state. Historically, this is not always true. It is slightly more reasonable in the light of 19th and 20th C history, but even now there are examples that contradict that (Somaliland for instance).
Also, you seem to make the existence of a guarantor of justice in the case of war contingent on the existence of a state. Also something I wouldn't necessarily agree with. States are not the only entities that have claimed or been invested with the moral and political power to wage war.

And then there is always the anarchist argument that the state is merely the biggest gang of them all.
 
 
elene
08:29 / 06.10.07
I would agree that realpolitik is a game, but it's a game like poker. The uncertainty associated with any prolonged war is excessive, as are the costs. Of course the very short war that is easily won, or serves to influence or divert, is of course part of realpolitik.

As for ideology, I consider genocide, for example, immoral irrespective of ideology.

I do mean condition. Somaliland is a special case, rather like Afghanistan. As long as the various clans can agree domains and avoid stepping on each other toes then these are practically states like Switzerland, though far more likely to disintegrate again into their components.

I don't think there is any justice in war. Who's to be the judge? The winner? The loser? You?

I like the biggest gang to be the only gang. I don't need any violence in my life.
 
 
Closed for Business Time
10:56 / 06.10.07
As for ideology, I consider genocide, for example, immoral irrespective of ideology.

Ok, I assumed you meant a-moral, when you in fact meant bad. That's fair, my bad.

The justice of war debate is as old as the hills, and although I'm sure we could do with another round, I'm not sure we can ever resolve that to everyone's satisfaction. Doesn't it depend on your basic moral values? If violence in any and all forms can never be justified, then war can never be justified. If some forms of violence in some situations can be justified, we're gonna open that can of worms and out war is gonna crawl. The UN and other value-arbiting bodies both secular and religious, present and past, have sanctioned and continue to sanction war as a last-ish resort. If that is based on any kind of popular will or widespread moral sentiment, then a lot of people across history have seen justice, and indeed sought justice (and revenge and the rest of the horrors) in and through war.

That of course doesn't make it right, but at the very least it sets war up as a pretty normal activity (in a statistical sense) for social systems to engage in.
I'd be hard pressed to think of any biggish nation, state, or other highly organised grouping that hasn't over the course of its existence had recourse to organised violence.

Nevertheless, if PSCs are here to stay, if they won't be made illegal (which I personally think is unlikely), what legal status should they have? Should they be allowed to use deadly force? Maybe they should use all these new-fangled "non-lethal weapons" and the militaries have sole access to the killing stuff?
 
  
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