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Extrasensory Perception

 
 
grant
14:42 / 26.06.01
Doing research for a story on ESP.


Evidence ranges from the modern & scientific...

quote:The Juilliard sample. There are several reports in the literature of a relationship between creativity or artistic ability and psi performance (Schmeidler, 1988). To explore this possibility in the ganzfeld setting, 10 male and 10 female undergraduates were recruited from the Juilliard School. Of these, 8 were music students, 10 were drama students, and 2 were dance students. Each served as the receiver in a single session in Study 104 or 105. As shown in Table 1, these students achieved a hit rate of 50% (p = .014), one of the five highest hit rates ever reported for a single sample in a ganzfeld study. The musicians were particularly successful: 6 of the 8 (75%) successfully identified their targets (p = .004; further details about this sample and their ganzfeld performance were reported in Schlitz & Honorton, 1992).


...to the convincingly circumstantial.

quote:A more successful experiment in telepathy was conducted in 1937 by Harold Sherman and Sir Hubert Wilkins, when Wilkins, an Australian explorer, was hired by the Russians to find a pilot who had disappeared in the Arctic. Sherman suggested to Wilkins that during his trip they should try to communicate by telepathy. Three days each week Wilkins sat down and reviewed the day's events; in New York, Sherman sat in near-darkness and wrote down anything that came into his head. Among other incidents, Sherman learned of a fire at a place called Aklavik before the news came by radio.

There have been some spectacular results under strictly controlled conditions. One of the most famous was reported in 1937 by Professor Riess of Hunter College, New York. On a number of evenings, Riess turned face-upward a series of cards from a newly shuffled pack on his desk, and his subject wrote down the cards that came to mind. Two packs of 25 cards were used each day. Gradually, the subject became more accurate; and on the last nine days of the experiment her score of successes was 17, 18, 19, 20, 20, 19, 20, 21 and 21 — so far above chance as to be astonishing, and by far the highest score ever recorded in a series of ESP experiments.



Even skeptical accounts admit there might be something to ESP.

quote:An amateur magician as a youth, Bem began ESP shows at the age of 17, a pastime he continues today as a professional mentalist and member of the Psychic Entertainers Association. In 1983, as a mentalist and top research psychologist, Bem was asked to evaluate Charles Honorton's laboratory in Princeton, New Jersey. According to Bem, at the time Honorton had just initiated a new series of ganzfeld studies (dubbed "autoganzfeld" because the targets were randomized by computer) that complied with stringent research protocols. Bem's visit to Honorton's laboratory left him convinced that results of the ganzfeld research deserved to be published in a mainstream journal. "I looked over the protocol, and was quited impressed," Bem recalled. "I had read Honorton's debate with Ray Hyman, and thought that the one talent I have is that I am able to reach the mainstream journals."

At that point, I interjected to ask what he had thought of psi research prior to arriving at Honorton's laboratory. "Before ganzfeld, I was a skeptic," he answered quickly and assertively.



As a note, the "ganzfeld" test involves sensory deprivation: putting ping-pong-ball-halves over the subject's eyes, shining a red light on that, and covering the ears with headphones broadcasting white noise.
The subject then catalogues sense impressions which may or may not be broadcast by a "sender" in another room.
 
 
Enamon
15:32 / 26.06.01
Hmmm. I seem to find a surprising lack of references of Remote Viewing, not to mention dream research done by John William Dunne.

[ 26-06-2001: Message edited by: Enamon ]
 
 
grant
19:12 / 26.06.01
Put 'em up! Tell me more!!
 
 
captain piss
17:28 / 28.06.01
Discouragingly enough, for someone keen to find backup for psychic phenomena that I've experienced, a recent issue of NewScientist had an interview with Susan Blackmore - of The Meme Machine fame - in which she said that she'd pretty much given up on her lifelong study of psychic phenomena. She was saying that she'd chucked out all her files on the topic and just given up on it, having found no compelling evidence.
Not that I'm taking some other bugger's word for it, but still...
 
 
Blank Faced Avatar
06:28 / 24.07.01
Johnny helped set up & recruit Remote Viewer units for the US navy as early as the summer of '76. Hot work. The documentation at Johnny's level implied that the viewers were really tuning into a 'posession' deal, always seeing through the eyes of an entity at the remote site - All Johnny knows is that the RV boys get the job done; Hell, if they get a target lock, the army boys are happy to attack without corroborative surveillance, so there's gotta be juice in it.
An' that reminds me, around that time I saw Arthur Koestler at some spook house, the agency were putting him up at a black ents. facility I dropped into. I reckon you may've read "The Roots of Coincidence" - a good primer in probability & esp tests that exceed it statistically, but it was bought & paid for by the company.

[ 24-07-2001: Message edited by: johnny alpha ]
 
 
Lionheart
16:11 / 10.05.02
From http://www.alternativescience.com/esp.htm (link provided by Grant)

ESP and the Lottery

Most developed countries have had public lotteries for many years -- in the case of nations like France and Spain, for centuries.

It was not, however, until 1989 that anyone realised that public numerical lotteries provide an unparalleled opportunity to test for the existence of paranormal abilities. Russian astrophysicist Mark Zilberman realised that the historical results of public lotteries provide a colossal statistical base that is completely independent of the observer and that relates to just one goal -- attempting to predict the outcome of a random process.

Zilberman examined the results of the Russian and French state lotteries and asked the question: are the results correlated significantly with any identifiable external factor?

As with the UK lottery, people win if they can predict 3 or more of the correct numbers. Zilberman looked at what he calls the True Predictions Density (TPD) defined as that fraction of lottery ticket buyers who win compared with the total number of tickets sold that week.

'From the standpoint of the player,' says Zilberman, 'lotteries are just a game in which one stands to win a certain sum of money. However, on closer analysis, lotteries afford us valuable material for investigating the ESP ability of masses of people. Indeed, public numerical lotteries are tantamount to a large-scale parapsychological experiment. One has here participants who are trying to predict results obtained from a Random Number Generator and there is feedback.'

There are many properties of lotteries that make them so useful for parapsychological analysis. The 'experiment' has a colossal statistical basis. In Russia, for instance, each monthly average TPD is based on between 200 million and 300 million predictions and the average annual TPD is based on between 3000 and 4000 million predictions. The trials take place every week and following each draw the participants can compare their predictions with the target. Results are published independently of any investigator, so there can be no selection of results. The experiment covers many years. The participants are not selected for any ESP ability but are a random cross section. Finally, the millions of participants demand demonstrable fair play and complete randomness in the lottery number picking system.

Given the nature of lotteries, any variation in TPD (the success of winners at predicting the outcome) ought to be random. In fact, Zilberman discovered in 1989 that the French and Soviet public lotteries exhibit an inexplicable but statistically significant seasonal variation over many years. Moreover, the variation in one country was mirrored in the other. As an astrophysicist, Zilberman realised that the variation was correlated with the 11-year cycle of solar activity. When solar activity is high, the number of correct predictions falls and vice versa.

'What can be the explanations for these phenomena?' Asked Zilberman. 'Are they the effect of external factors modifying the results of lottery draws? Are they due to human precognitive abilities as modulated by external geophysical factors? Are they due to human psychokinetic abilities to shift the stochastic process to a desired outcome?'

Zilberman investigated whether the variation might be an artifact of players choosing certain numbers or certain strategies. It is known for example that players prefer numbers below 20. He found that, 'with a certain strategy, large groups of players could reduce the TPD below the random level for a finite period. On the other hand, no tactics, no combined effort, could raise the density above the random level unless this involved prediction of the future.' As Zilberman points out, the results show both seasonal and annual cycles of the rise and fall of TPD above the random level. Moreover, the fluctuations are mirrored in both Russia and France.

Most predictable of all, as with all such anomalous findings, Zilberman's discovery has been relegated to the 'Forbidden Science' file drawer and forgotten.
 
  
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