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1.8 Tons of Uranium removed from Iraqi Research Facility

 
 
Ray Fawkes
21:13 / 07.07.04
Relatively quiet reports are beginning to suggest that WMD and/or the materials to create them have been found in Iraq - but whether there's enough to qualify as a threat is debatable.

U.S. Removes Iraqi Nuclear and Radiological Materials

And, from a July 6, 2004 White House Press Release:

"Q I wanted to follow up on Helen's question. Charles Duelfer, the head of the Iraqi weapons inspection team, recently reported the discovery of a small quantity of chemical weapons containing mustard gas and sarin.
Polish forces also found weapons containing sarin. These are undoubtedly weapons of mass destruction and certainly would be seen as such if they were to be detonated, say, inside the New York subway system. So why isn't the administration saying that WMDs have been found in Iraq?

MR. McCLELLAN: Well, I think those questions may be best directed to the Iraq Survey Group and to Charles Duelfer. He has commented on those. As he pointed out in the interview recently, he said they were continuing to do
their work and continuing to pursue other locations where there have been reports of weapons. And they're continuing to look into the question of what happened to the weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, because we know that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction because he had used
them on his own people, as well as on a neighboring country. And so those are issues that the Iraq Survey Group continues to look at and uncover. They're working to find out the truth and determine what happened to those
weapons of mass destruction.

Q What's the magic number for proclaiming that there are weapons of mass destruction in Iraq?

MR. McCLELLAN: Again, I think it's important to let them continue to do their work and continue to find out what the truth is."


What do you think?
 
 
flufeemunk effluvia
23:36 / 07.07.04
Aww, fuck. I hate it when they're right.
 
 
w1rebaby
01:20 / 08.07.04
What do you think?

I think this latest release, and the nonsense that was mentioned in the press release you quote (sorry, press conference), are flimsy unsupported bollocks designed to damn through innuendo.

I draw this conclusion from comparison to the large quantity of flimsy unsupported bollocks of similar appearance designed to damn through innuendo continually released on a weekly basis for the last eighteen months or so.

If any of this turns out to be real WMD - not WMD-related-program-activity-potential-precursors, I'm talking the sort of thing that was claimed before the invasion, not that "WMD" was ever a meaningful term in the first place - I will eat the clothing item of your choice. Go on, name one.
 
 
lekvar
07:15 / 08.07.04
Sorry folks, false alarm. The uranium is medical waste, such as comes from x-rays and the like. Even Fox News, that bastion of the liberal media conspiracy, admits as much after yammering for a paragraph or two about "Dirty Bombs!"

As to the sarin-filled shells they found, they were left over from the Iran-Iraq war and so old they'd make better paperweights than weapons.
 
 
w1rebaby
11:52 / 08.07.04
That was quick.
 
 
Ray Fawkes
13:31 / 08.07.04
Er, lekvar, the article you cite states that the "other radioactive material" is medical and industrial waste - the uranium "is of the 3 percent to 5 percent level of enrichment common in fuel for commercial power reactors, could have been of value to a country developing enrichment technology."

i.e. either just nuclear power material, or prep material for construction of a nuclear bomb.
 
 
Ray Fawkes
13:36 / 08.07.04
I note, also, that the administration seems to be carefully avoiding any statement suggesting that these are WMD or the oft-mentioned "smoking gun". That would suggest that even they don't believe this stuff qualifies - at least, not yet.
 
 
w1rebaby
14:23 / 08.07.04
The administration don't need to say anything because they know the press will do it for them.

e.g. FOX News: Weapons-Grade Plutonium Possibly Found at Iraqi Nuke Complex

Since most people just let news wash over them and forget the contents of the article within days, this leaves the residue: "weapons plutonium found iraqi nuke". You have to have quite a few of these stories for it to work, but they're deniable.

It's the standard disinformation tactic. You get to deceive without lying, by simply exploiting the tendency not to pay very much attention, and then say with a straight face afterwards "no, we never said that, I have no idea why everyone thinks Iraqis attacked the WTC".
 
 
We're The Great Old Ones Now
14:43 / 08.07.04
Having nuclear fuel is no more having WMD or even a 'programme' for WMD than having seawater means you're making chlorine gas for use on the battlefield. It's not against international law, or even very unusual.

There's no question that Iraq had a nuclear weapons programme once. It's pretty unlikely that they had one recently. However, they did have a lot of radioactive crap, much of which has now disappeared.

The world's a safer place. Yay.
 
 
Ray Fawkes
17:25 / 08.07.04
Interesting. I guess an important question is the one raised at the conference, linked above - how much is enough? Something has been found, but it's not enough to convince even the administration that they've got their proof. What would convince people, then?

We have, for instance, the material required to create weapons-grade uranium and the facility that could do so - or, it could be a facility for creation of a nuclear power plant. The other materials removed from Iraq "could be" used for a radioactive dispersal weapon, or they could just be ordinary medical equipment residue and industrial waste. The Sarin gas "could be" used as a weapon, but it might be a relatively harmless relic.

Is there a line that could be drawn, beyond which people would say "something was happening that had to be stopped", or is it impossible, at this point? We already know that Bush et. al. lied to get where they are, and they inflated existing fears. We don't know (much as we like to speculate) exactly why they did so. Did they believe that something was going to happen and act to pre-empt it (while misleading the general public into believing it had already happened), or are these recent finds completely irrelevant?
 
 
grant
18:49 / 08.07.04
Well, that depends on if you think WMD really matter, as far as a reason to go to war. The example of Pakistan (military coup, Taliban training ground, recently tested nuclear weapons) comes to mind....
 
 
w1rebaby
01:32 / 09.07.04
Is there a line that could be drawn, beyond which people would say "something was happening that had to be stopped", or is it impossible, at this point?

Well, sure. If evidence arose indicating that Hussein had quantities of lethal weapons that he was planning to use against the US, and the administration knew about it at the time, and there was no other way to avoid it via, say, UN action (not quite sure how this would be the case but, I don't know, perhaps there was something about the evidence that the USG possessed that made it impossible to reveal to the governments of other countries... somehow...) I'd say that would be reasonable grounds for a pre-emptive strike.

This is all on the outer edges though. The indication is overwhelmingly that nothing of the sort was the case. Theoretically, anything can be justified. There may be possible situations where the US attack was not a simple invasion for profit and influence, but there are possible situations where Bush is a shapeshifting lizard as well.

If I may say so, you have to be pretty desperate to continue theorising at this stage that there was hidden knowledge at the time of which there is no evidence, when intelligence sources deny that there was any evidence, investigations conclude there was no evidence, there are numerous indications that the attack was planned before there could possibly have been any evidence, there are numerous motives for the USG to take over Iraq... that's a whole lot of entities being multiplied beyond necessity. We may not know exactly what was going through the heads of various administration members but it's hardly that their actions were inexplicable in terms of a simple land, resource and power grab; it's more a question of exactly which reasons were predominant.
 
 
Ray Fawkes
02:35 / 09.07.04
In effect, you're answering my question with a resounding "irrelevant".

I wouldn't ascribe desperation to the questions I'm asking above, though - they're hardly one-sided. What I'm interested in here is not what the motives of the U.S. Administration were with regards to Iraq - I'm pretty sure the worst of our suspicions are true. Mr. Bush Jr. and his close associates have proven to be either exceptionally simple-minded or exceptionally greedy. That's well established.

What I'm interested in discussing is: were those weapons there and/or being developed? Does this news suggest that this is more of a grey-area case than it first seemed? Should we be willing to entertain that notion, or is there (as you suggest) no point in further investigation?

There was no evidence. What if the "hunches" or, worse yet (on the black humor scale), the lies turn out to be true in some part? Would it go towards justifying what's happened or not?

I feel a great deal of personal conflict over the war in Iraq - I found the stated reasons for invasion agreeable, while the rapidly unearthed actual (or apparent actual) reasons to be insupportable. I am finding the current state of the conflict to be both positive (the removal of Hussein's brutal Ba'ath regime, the neutering of a potential resource for the enemies of America) and negative (the chaos that's ensued, the cost in Iraqi and American lives). Every new piece of information I learn seems to tip the scales to and fro - American forces are behaving shamefully in some cases, honorably in others. The United Nations appears to be both hindering and helping the cause of civilian bystanders. Iraqi civilians are demonstrating both an urge for freedom and a resistance to constitutional government. It is possible that there were actually WMD programs in Iraq. It is possible that there weren't. Every time I think about these things, I try to draw lines in the conceptual sand. "If it gets worse than X, then this wasn't worth it. If it turns out that the situation was worse than Y before the invasion, then it was."

Are most of us satisfied that those lines have already been crossed, one way or the other? It appears so. Most of the people I've spoken to about this Uranium news tend to approach it as though their decision is already made. They either seem to say "it doesn't mean anything" or "turns out they were right all along". Is it that simple?
 
 
Ganesh
11:16 / 09.07.04
On the subject of Weapons of Mass Destruction generally, is it considered acceptable for America to be ploughing billions into the development of ever-more-ingenious methods of killing large numbers of people - when America has, historically, been the target for relatively little by way of terrorism?
 
 
We're The Great Old Ones Now
13:54 / 09.07.04
Ghost, I think you should check out Scott Ritter's books, and - if you can find them - the interviews he gave various news channels during before, during, and after the war. But basically - no, there was no project looking to develop nukes in Iraq after the weapons inspectors went through first time around. They absolutely totalled it.

As to the 'missing' bio weapons the administration was so worried about, here's a sample factoid: Iraq never developed dry anthrax. That's not in disupte. Liquid anthrax has a shelf life of three years, after which it turns into sludge. Basically, you wouldn't want to bathe in it, but you'd have more luck firing sewage at your enemy and hoping they got Cholera. So the 'missing' anthrax from the early nineties has exactly zero relevance as a weapon today. It honestly doesn't matter where it is. It is defunct. It is ex-anthrax. In other words, it's hooey. As is the Niger/Uranium plot.

And so on.

No WMD. All hooey.
 
 
lekvar
00:18 / 10.07.04
Every piece of info I've found on the uranium stockpile states that it was never intended for offensive measures.

It could have been developed into a "dirty bomb."
It could have been enriched, through technology not commonly available and at great expense, into a tiny ammount of weapons-grade fissile material. (as opposed to simply buying some, as India, Pakistan, North Korea Israel have)
It could have fallen into that hands of Al Qaeda if there had been a link between Hussein and Bin Laden.

Could. If.

And aluminum tubes could be used in the production of nuclear weapons... but weren't.

I admit that my first reaction was "Oh shit, the Smoking Gun!" But the gun smokes not. This is more spin and media manipulation.
 
 
flufeemunk effluvia
23:47 / 10.07.04
Aww, fuck. I hate it when they're right.

Double damn! Jumped the gun!

Seriously, though its nice how its been kept so quiet...
 
 
w1rebaby
22:01 / 11.07.04
OG:

What I'm interested in discussing is: were those weapons there and/or being developed? Does this news suggest that this is more of a grey-area case than it first seemed? Should we be willing to entertain that notion, or is there (as you suggest) no point in further investigation?

There was no evidence. What if the "hunches" or, worse yet (on the black humor scale), the lies turn out to be true in some part? Would it go towards justifying what's happened or not?


I was quite surprised that weapons weren't found, given that pretty much every government in the world with a military wants powerful weapons; no, this "news" doesn't suggest anything like that; there isn't really much point in further investigation IMO and in any case, nobody is actually investigating as such - we have the USG trying to find anything that looks like it will back its original position up either through evidence or insinuation, and they've always been quite clear that they don't want anyone else investigating...

...you know, though, I feel slightly dirty even talking about this issue again, for two reasons. Number one is that the whole issue was basically made up by the USG. WMDs were never a realistic excuse for going to war, legally or ethically - you can construct a situation in which they might have been, but in no possible way were they at the time. Even if they had had WMDs the USG response would still have been absurd.

Number two is that the lies have already been told. The USG said quite clearly "we know they have WMDs, we have evidence, we know where they are". Quite clearly they didn't, unless Mr Hussein is David Copperfield. Even if a whole lake of anthrax was found under Baghdad tomorrow that wouldn't change the fact that the USG did not know it was there. Of course, in practice this wouldn't count - people would say it justified the invasion and other people would believe them - but that's a propaganda issue; the simple fact is that they said things that weren't true and used them as reasons for invading Iraq.

The feeling I continually get is that even talking about WMDs in the context of justification is playing up to someone else's attempt to set the agenda. It was an unconvincing and, in the context of their actual actions (ignoring weapons inspectors and the UN etc), illogical excuse at the time; now it's just irrelevant. Thus even having this discussion is advancing the USG's cause. The question is not "are there WMDs?", it's "were their statements about knowing that there were WMDs, on which they justified their actions, true?" to which I consider the answer is a big fat no.

I wish that anti-war types would just not talk about current WMD finds at all, in fact. They're only giving credence to the administration's idea that if they were present it would justify the invasion.
 
 
Tryphena Absent
19:13 / 12.07.04
They either seem to say "it doesn't mean anything" or "turns out they were right all along". Is it that simple?

I was against the war when there were Weapons and my stance has not budged one, single inch in any direction. I think the entire question of weaponry is irrelevant to the situation and it was simply a plus point that there is nothing floating around. That's why it doesn't mean anything- because US imperialism and humanitarian reasons far outweighted any claims of a threat that wasn't even being issued in our direction. Frankly Israel frightens me far more- if Sharon's happy to kill Hamas leaders how long until he subscribes us to be a threatening Christian nation? Sounds ridiculous doesn't it? Much like Hussein suddenly trying to kill us all with bombs but I still think we had more ground to force a resolution in Israel than we did in Iraq.
 
 
Our Lady Has Left the Building
00:11 / 13.07.04
There are at least two reports that have been going round since January that the US is smuggling WMD components into Iraq to do the big reveal in time for the Presidential elections, but given that these reports are from Iran and Libya, well known to be friends of both Iraq and the US, obviously and not from Al Jazeera, there is a slight question of their credibility. Does the US need to find WMD as it has the country and Hussein?
 
 
Ray Fawkes
02:25 / 13.07.04
because US imperialism and humanitarian reasons far outweighted any claims of a threat

This is something people often say, but I'm not sure exactly how the arithmetic of humanitarianism applies. Did the attack result in more or less of a humanitarian effort for the people of Iraq?
 
 
We're The Great Old Ones Now
07:44 / 13.07.04
WMD are not anonymous or interchangeable. Purity of materials, components, strains of bioweapons and so on provide a fingerprint - as was apparent during the Anthrax attacks in the US. So any attempt to forge an Iraqi weapon - which would inevitably be checked by the IAEA or the UN or similar - would have to make use of appropriate materials. That's problematic, because if they could get hold of those materials, they wouldn't be in the bind in the first place. An exposed forgery would be pretty much lights out for the administration. So I sort of think "bring it on".
 
 
We're The Great Old Ones Now
07:48 / 13.07.04
The humanitarian thing is hard to calculate because

1) the invading forces refused to keep a count of enemy casualties
2) we don't yet know what kind of government the country will end up with
3) it's hard to quantify something like 'freedom from Saddam vs. decimated infrastructure'
4) much depends on how much effort the rest of the world is now prepared to expend
 
 
Our Lady Has Left the Building
18:29 / 13.07.04
But genuine Iraqi WMD would be made from American materials anyway wouldn't they? All they'd need was something they could announce the day before the election, then in the euphoria of a Bush win the bulk of people wouldn't care if the WMD components 'disappear'.
 
 
We're The Great Old Ones Now
19:28 / 13.07.04
Ummm...

Not sure about that, but in any case, the funding and support of Saddam Hussein by previous U.S. administrations is not a topic which Bush & Co. really want to get into. As to "we gave him bioweapons - which we don't have, by the way..."

Wow.
 
  
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