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A bright shiny new Iraq?

 
 
Ganesh
18:27 / 05.05.04
A poster on another site quotes an email he received, unsolicited, purporting to be a 'from the horse's mouth' account of All The Good Things Happening In Iraq that the eeevil media neglect to emphasise:

As I head off to Baghdad for the final weeks of my stay in Iraq, I wanted to say thanks to all of you who did not believe the media. They have done a very poor job of covering everything that has happened. I am sorry that I have not been able to visit all of you during my two week leave back home. And just so you can rest at night knowing something is happening in Iraq that is noteworthy, I thought I would pass this on to you. This is the list of things that has happened in Iraq recently: (Please share it with your friends and compare it to the version that your paper is producing)

-Over 4.5 million people have clean drinking water for the first time ever in Iraq.

-Over 400,000 kids have up to date immunizations.

-Over 1500 schools have been renovated and ridded of the weapons that were stored there so education can occur.

-The port of Uhm Qasar was renovated so grain can be off loaded from ships faster.

-School attendance is up 80% from levels before the war.

-The country had it's first 2 billion barrel export of oil in August.

-The country now receives 2 times the electrical power it did before the war.

-100% of the hospitals are open and fully staffed compared to 35% before the war.

-Elections are taking place in every major city and city councils are in place.

-Sewer and water lines are installed in every major city.

-Over 60,000 police are patrolling the streets.

-Over 100,000 Iraqi civil defense police are securing the country.

-Over 80,000 Iraqi soldiers are patrolling the streets side by side with US soldiers.

-Over 400,000 people have telephones for the first time ever.

-Students are taught field sanitation and hand washing techniques to prevent the spread of germs.

-An interim constitution has been signed.

-Girls are allowed to attend school for the first time ever in Iraq.

-Text books that don't mention Saddam are in the schools for the first time in 30 years.

Don't believe for one second that these people do not want us there. I have met many many people from Iraq that want us there and in a bad way. They say they will never see the freedoms we talk about but they hope their children will. We are doing a good job in Iraq and I challenge anyone, anywhere to dispute me on these facts.

So If you happen to run into John Kerry, be sure to give him my email address and send him to Denison, Iowa. This soldier will set him straight. If you are like me and very disgusted with how this period of rebuilding has been portrayed, email this to a friend and let them know there are good things happening.

Ray Reynolds, SFC
Iowa Army National Guard
234th Signal Battalion


Does anyone have a more reliable source to check the veracity of these claims - and, perhaps more to the point, the extent to which they're valid measures of a 'positive outcome'?
 
 
MJ-12
18:55 / 05.05.04
At a glance, this

Girls are allowed to attend school for the first time ever in Iraq.

is horseshit, and doesn't do much for the credibility of the rest. That said, I'm certain that there are are number of improvements occurring, but even those need to be cast in the light of the sanctions regime, which the west bears no small amount of responsibility for.
 
 
grant
18:59 / 05.05.04
Well, as I posted over there, it's kinda hard to say when "before the war" was.

Of course, you're going to assume that it's, oh, sometime in 2002 or so, and probably during all of Hussein's reign.

I don't think that's true -- the time period they're probably using is after the first threats from Bush, when Hussein started "hunkering down" and people started evacuating.

Of course, the army has to be doing something constructive or else we'd (believe it or not) being hearing a lot more criticism, and would be facing a much broader and more impassioned uprising. I think.
 
 
Loomis
19:04 / 05.05.04
Over 1500 schools have been renovated and ridded of the weapons that were stored there so education can occur

This one made me laugh. Kids were unable to get into the library to study because it was full of bombs?

I don't know how to (dis)prove many of the claims, as I don't have figures to hand of what it was like before. But even if that is all true, I don't see it as a justification for war. If Dubbya went to the UN last year and said he was going to invade Iraq so that more people could have telephones and electricity, do you think he would've got the approval he was looking for?

No one is doubting that the occupying forces are building infrastructure, but that's hardly the point. They weakened it first with sanctions, and then bombed the shit out of it, so I don't think they should get any medals for restoring power and water.
 
 
w1rebaby
19:21 / 05.05.04
There's a fact-based rebuttal here.
 
 
Ganesh
19:22 / 05.05.04
-Text books that don't mention Saddam are in the schools for the first time in 30 years.

You'd think he might be kinda relevant to the recent history of Iraq, wouldn't you? I guess they mean textbooks that don't present Saddam Hussein as the Bountiful Source of Everything That Is Good.
 
 
Ganesh
19:23 / 05.05.04
Thanks, yer Fridgeness.
 
 
Lurid Archive
19:43 / 05.05.04
Lets look at the BBC. (All these reports are dated April of this year).

Iraqi oil production has increased from zero straight after the war, to current levels of 2.5 million barrels per day (bpd), according to the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA). This figure matches pre-war production levels.


The health picture indicates improvement, even if there are problems,

A year on, the BBC has seen chronic problems in Baghdad's hospitals, with doctors lacking basic supplies such as oxygen and painkillers as they struggle to treat the city's sick and injured.

USAid says it has vaccinated three million children and bought 30 million doses of vaccine, although Unicef says poor security is limiting access to immunisation services in some areas.

Unicef says services at about 80% of Iraq's primary health centres have been restored or improved, including major reconstruction work at about 50 centres.

Before, a lot of these people couldn't get anything at all unless they paid through the nose

Dr David Nabarro, WHO


The country's health care system was one of the best in the Middle East before the first Gulf War, but suffered a massive decline in funding under Saddam Hussein and sanctions in the 1990s.


What about power?

In 2003, peak generation reached the pre-war level of 4,400 Megawatts, after dropping to 3,300MW after the war.

Production has declined to around 4,000MW in recent months as some functioning power plants have been taken off-line to allow upgrades to be carried out.

The CPA says it aims to increase generation to 6,000MW by June.

Iraqis still suffer frequent power cuts, sometimes two or three a day in Baghdad, but the CPA says the whole country is now getting 12 - 16 hours of power a day.

"For the first time in 30 years, the power is being distributed fairly," a CPA spokesperson said, stating that before the war Baghdad had round-the-clock power while other areas had none.



Education,

Iraq's education system was one of the best in the Middle East in the 1980s, but spiralled downwards as investment dropped from $620 per year per student in 1988/89 to $47 in the late 1990s.

Sanctions hit the economy and schools were left short of basic supplies such as chalk and blackboards, and poverty forced many children out of education.

The Coalition Provisional Authority says 2,500 schools across the country have now been rehabilitated, with work on a further 869 underway and a target of a total of 4,000 set for the end of the year.


Water,

About half of Iraq's waste water flows untreated into the country's streams and rivers.

Water treatment facilities are currently operating at about 65% of their capacity, due to years of neglect, power cuts and post-war looting.

Iraq's water and sanitation systems were ailing even before the 2003 war after massive underinvestment in the 1990s.

Bomb damage, looting and shortages of electricity, spare parts and chemicals have worsened conditions further since the 2003 war.

Work is under way on the southern canal system
A World Bank assessment in October 2003 concluded that only 6 out of 10 Iraqis in urban areas had safe drinking water, and, with leaks taken into account, Baghdad's water system was only meeting a third of the city's need.


The picture is fairly consistent. Iraq suffered horribly under the sanctions regime, and things got worse during and after the war. At the moment things are improving, but the country is still in pretty poor shape.

Essentially, we imposed dreadful sanctions on Iraq and bombed it a little. Saddam, to our horror, made the Iraqi people suffer while looking after himself. And we are in no way culpable, even though it was predictable. It was an "acceptable price", in fact.

Subsequently, we invaded, killed about 10,000 civilians, and lifted the sanctions. Despite the continuing human rights abuses, things are still probably better. As Calvin said to Hobbes, if you set the bar low enough, being a success needn't require any effort.
 
 
Lurid Archive
20:24 / 05.05.04
Here is a the pdf Medact report on Iraqi reconstruction. It is dated November 2003.

It seems to suggest that the security situation - or rather the lack of security - is a serious problem. As are the problems of unemployment, access to water, rights for women, power and health. There is also a suggestion that privitisation of essential services is more suited to the needs of private companies than of the Iraqi people. Who'da thunk it?
 
 
misterpc
06:18 / 06.05.04
The basic fallacy is that most of the problems outlined by Reynolds in his e-mail were caused by two Gulf Wars and the sanctions regime, rather than by Evil Saddam. The article linked by fridgemagnet does a good job of demolishing the statistical arguments made by Reynolds (which in turn is just recycled material from the US administration), so I won't try to duplicate that. However on of Reynolds' key points is that most Iraqis want the US troops there.

I left Iraq 9 months ago, but even then it was clear that most Iraqis didn't want the US there. They were happy Saddam was gone, but every single one said that there would be trouble if the US didn't get out sooner rather than later. Of course they wouldn't say that to anybody in uniform or in the CPA... because they'd be worried that it would get them into trouble or lose their jobs. If a man in a uniform invades your country, kills your neighbour, then parks his tank outside your house and asks you if you're happy that he's there, what would you say?

It's worth remembering that our armed forces (particularly the US armed forces) have a difficult time with the idea that maybe people don't respect, like or trust them. In Kosovo, KFOR was planning to do an opinion poll on the performance of the UN mission. So picture the scene. Three armed and uniformed KFOR troops sitting in somebody's front room, polling a family of Albanians. At this point the Albanians have been consistently oppressed for 10 years by people in uniforms (military and paramilitary). One of the questions: are you happy with KFOR being in Kosovo?

We pointed out that this question probably wouldn't get an unbiased answer. They looked puzzled and we had to explain it to them very slowly and clearly. The Americans in Iraq are exactly the same - they don't realise that their position of power makes it impossible for them to get an unbiased opinion, particularly in a place where, for such a long time, dissent was answered by imprisonment, torture and execution.

And I can't say that the recent photos from Abu Ghraib have encouraged them to speak their mind, either.
 
  
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