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Iran '04; that other important election

 
 
sleazenation
09:15 / 19.02.04
It may or may not have escaped the attention of many, but there is soon to be an election in Iran. At stake is the progress and shape of reform of a very influential and well placed country which shares borders with both Afganistan and Iraq. The current President is pro-reform but holds less power than the unelected supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

For those not au fait with with Iranian politics here is a handy guide

One of the many interesting things here is the recent decision by Iran's unellected institutions to bar many pro-reform candidates from running. Much of Iran's Youthful population is pro-reform, but many are jaded by the lack of progress they have seen under the current president , and soome are unwilling to endorse an election that has been deliberately skew by the unelected religious leaders.
It seem unlikely the young will turn out in large numbers, leaving mainly the hardliners and conservative voters.

I was just wondering what other people thought about the current situation in Iran and possible parrallels on voter apathy to other democratic states around the world.
 
 
sleazenation
11:04 / 20.02.04
The election is today
 
 
Not Here Still
18:31 / 20.02.04
Looks like the hardliners are set for a win, the few pro-reformers who are running are predicting - beforehand - that they are going to do badly.

It's arguable how much you can call Iran a 'democratic' state, but then that is an argument you could make in many countries across the world, I would suppose...

When people aren't voting in Iran, is this situation apathy (if defined as, basically, not being arsed) or more a protest non-vote, if you see what I mean?

Not so much a 'however I vote, the Government always gets in' statement, rather a 'I am not voting, because a certain Government will get in whatever' statement?

The hardliners are selling the vote as a way to show anti-American sentiment, according to Reuters:

TEHRAN (Reuters) - Iranians appeared to have largely ignored boycott calls in a disputed parliamentary election on Friday and were poised to elect hardliners opposed to reformist President Mohammad Khatami.

With polling extended by four hours beyond the official closing time to allow latecomers to vote, an interior ministry source told Reuters first estimates suggested a reduced but respectable national turnout of between 47 and 52 percent.

That compares with 67 percent in 2000 when reformers linked to Khatami swept two-thirds of the parliament seats. Most prominent reformists were banned from running this time by a watchdog panel of unelected hardline clerics.

Iran's clerical leaders and state media had exhorted voters to "slap America in the face" by turning out in droves, seeking to tap a deep vein of nationalism and suspicion of foreign interference among many Iranians.
 
 
sleazenation
23:06 / 20.02.04
When people aren't voting in Iran, is this situation apathy (if defined as, basically, not being arsed) or more a protest non-vote, if you see what I mean?

hmmmm i'm not certain i buy this – surely not voting is an abdication of responsibility, a shirking of your responsibility to ensure that even in an unfair and not totally representative election that as many ballots for the other option as possible are cast, otherwise surely the consequences of not voting at all are worse. Isn't the rhetoric of remaining untainted by a system of political reprisentation you do not agree with rather empty when the opposition can claim legitimacy on the grounds that they did in fact get the most votes on election night?

It kind of reminds me of comment one poster made about the US election as being between american imperialism and 10% less american imperialism. While that poster might believe that this is no meaningful choice between the two options i disagree - even if the choice is 10% less bad stuff-or the same amount of bad stuff surely its our duty to do everything we can to achieve the 10% less bad stuff through the ballot box and lobby heavily for other alternatives afterwards?
 
 
HCE
16:31 / 21.02.04
The political climate and recent (last 100 years) history of Iran is so different from America's that it's difficult to draw a parallel of any kind. American voters arguably have much more real choice than Iranians, at least locally if not for the highest offices. In America there is no controlling group that is overtly untouchable by democratic processes. Also, the lives of Iranians who are not particularly interested in politics are still politicized in a more intense and immediate way than those of their American counterparts -- teachers or journalists, for example.

That said, Iran is in some ways far more progressive than other states in the region. I have only anecdotal reports from young Iranian friends and relatives, and the group I know -- middle class, educated, not terribly nationalistic -- is hardly representative. The few generalizations I can make about their views are that they don't vote out of a sense of helplessness -- which is not quite apathy, but not a protest non-vote either. They can be arsed, but don't care to have what little hope is left in them crushed by fighting the tide.

I am avoiding the news reports for the same sort of reasons. I do care, but don't really think I can do fuck all about it.
 
 
HCE
16:39 / 24.02.04
The following from http://www.ladysun.net

Elections: Done
The elections are done. People participated in the elections more than it was expected. God knows if the statistics are right or not. But it doesn't make any difference. (Of course only 20% of people have participated in Tehran and most of the elected people are chosen by less than 15% of people's vote.) Everybody knew that the conservatives are going to win.

There are different assumptions about the future of our parliament. Some say the new parliament will give some social freedom to people and improve the economic status of our country, so that ordinary people will be satisfied and the complaints decrease. Some other say they are going to make life hard on people and therefore Iranian society will burst with protests, and some other say everything will become like six years ago –Iran before Khatami's presidency.

The first thing I hope is that the coming parliament do something about the economic situation of people. Ordinary people are becoming poorer and poorer, social security sucks, and many people are living unstable lives. I hope they won't be stupid to limit the social freedoms as well. If they do, people will start protests, and brutal conservatives will savagely suppress them. I don't think that what happened in Georgia happens in Iran as well. Shevardnadze was clever enough to find out that his era is over and left the country for people. But conservatives of Iran will never accept that their era is over. They are ready to do anything to stay in power. The last thing Iran needs is another bloody revolution. I hope they have got the message of all the events of the last 6 years: people are yearning for change and reform.


Posted by Lady Sun @ 11:54 PM | Comments (2) | TrackBack (0)
 
  
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