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I think you'll be hardpressed to see any sort of run-up of another invasion with the neo-cons right now. They're growing faster and faster into a political liability.
A moderate Republican friend of mine, who never misses a day to talk up politics, has suggested that the subtle push for a multilateralist approach (the request for financial help from other countries in exchange for a bit of the 'peacekeeping pie'), coming from the State Department, is a reaction, a concession by the powers that be, to the neocon fuck-up. Rummy, Perle, Wolfowitz. They had their chance. And they fumbled it. Now Powell and the State Dept has Bush's ear.
The thing I'm fascinated by is that the attacks against the occupiers, esp. the suicide bomber element, is very much out of character for the Iraqi people. This is a country that's been a secular nation for years now. The suicide bomber meme isn't really a part of their culture. So it would not surprise me to see jihadists outside of Iraq taking it upon themselves to drive this fight right to the American troops. Something I look at with mixed feelings of revulsion and relief. Revulsion more than anything because human lives are being used as collateral or a means of distraction.
Whether one supported this war or not, we're up to our necks in it now. From here on out, things have to be handled delicately. Occupying it for too long could blow up into catastrophe just easily as pulling out too quickly and leaving things worse than when the US got there. |
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