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Weird science & new frontiers

 
 
grant
20:31 / 24.04.03
I've found a marvelous little web site.

It's an archive of weird science, collecting articles on antigravity and magnet therapy, as well as links to experiments on Cold Fusion and ESP testing.

But the best part of the site is the defense of research that seems really wacky.

One short excerpt:
Do you think that scientists of 1890 would guess right about 1990? Would they predict all of the approaching changes that blossomed from the tiny inconsistencies in 1890 science? Or instead, would they tend to see 1890 science as 99% complete, and see it as rapidly running out of new realms to explore, while the realities of 1990 would be obvious, delusional, H.G. Wells Scienti-fiction? Obviously the latter, no? But isn't this a lesson for us? Aren't modern scientists doing the same thing as Lord Kelvin, who ridiculed X-rays and Flying machines?

...If I choose to believe that opportunies exist to make really major discoveries, yet I turn out to be wrong, then I may waste life looking for something that doesn't exist.

Then look at the opposite stance: if I become convinced that science is complete, when it really is 99% incomplete, then I lose my chance to participate in all the coming exploration. As a result I would abandon a wondrous journey after taking only a few steps. And also, if I choose to believe that the unknown is tiny and unimportant, then my beliefs will guarantee my blindness to the many clues which lead to all those genuine vast unknown regions awaiting the first explorer.


So, from a social perspective, does "weird science" make sense?

How does "weird science" interact with "establishment science"? And what might that tell us about what we really know?


(Also relevant might be the earlier discussions here on science and authority.)
 
 
Quantum
08:49 / 25.04.03
Weird science is the cutting edge- full of wacky nonsense, some of which turns out to be the pivotal discoveries of the age. Establishment science is conservative and quite reactionary IMO, weird science is the creative counterculture of science. Look at Charles Fort- still not taken seriously all this time later, all he's got is a magazine.
Science thinks it can explain everything, what it can't explain doesn't exist. So anything mysterious is right out- err on the side of scepticism seems to be the rule. I encourage creative science myself.
 
 
Lurid Archive
13:19 / 25.04.03
I disagree with what quantum says, as it doesn't match my experience at all. Science is not conservative, it is based on constant change - this is not in dispute, I imagine. What one needs to remember is that though some wierd science will produce exciting new changes, for the most part strange ideas will not prove valuable. Hence research into an idea just becuase it is wierd makes no sense. To put it another way, you don't necessarily buy as many lottery tickets as you can just because you know that one is a winner.

Science thinks it can explain everything, what it can't explain doesn't exist.

I hear people say that a lot, but I can't help but see it as disinformation. Partly, and I hope I'm not misrepresenting you Quantum, people see science as nothing more than the creation of metaphors. Any metaphor is as good as any other, therefore it is biased of science to reject any viewpoint.

The problem with that point of view is that it fundamentally misunderstands what science is. It is about explaining, yes, in a way that gives empirically validated predictions that are falsifiable. If you don't accept that as valid - and I don't think I can be bothered to argue with people that planes really do fly - then you don't accept science as valid. Thats fine, but then it rather undercuts the charge of bias. It would be like calling religion useless for not inventing the lightbulb.
 
 
grant
16:52 / 25.04.03
To put it another way, you don't necessarily buy as many lottery tickets as you can just because you know that one is a winner.

Actually, in high-jackpot draws, I was under the impression that some venture capital groups do exactly that: buy so many tickets, they're virtually guaranteed at least a five-number match (partial win), and a good chance at a six-number match (ring-a-ding). I'm talking thousands of tickets (a dollar a piece) for a jackpot over $100 million... I remember hearing about that happening here in Florida last time the jackpot climbed that high.

I thought once the pay-off reached a certain point, it became cost-effective to attempt to corner the drawing. But I'm no mathematician.
 
 
Lurid Archive
17:23 / 25.04.03
Yeah, it depends on the odds and the payoff. Hence not "necessarily". It also depends on being able to buy lots of tickets. That said, the analagy with science isn't perfect since you have no idea of the odds. Still, despite what you might hear, research funding isn't so easy to get. You can probably get large amounts if you can guarantee a payoff...

Some speculative research is worthwhile, of course. But one of the aspects of this that I think is worth mentioning is that some alternative theorists will not accept any criteria for falsification.
 
 
My Mom Thinks I'm Cool
22:50 / 25.04.03
I've definitely heard people say they refused to believe something because science couldn't explain it. Of course, a true "scientist" would have said "show me!" because science is all about evidence. I always seperate people into Scientists vs Engineers - where the engineers just want to improve what we already have a little bit so they can make more money, and haven't got time for looking at evidence.

The reason I didn't go into grad school was because my time in research labs as an undergrad all seemed overly political. As Lurid says, there's competition for scarce resources in the scientific world - if you want to get money for your research you have to make it Look Good. So you end up with people more worried about names on their resume than actually figuring anything out. Similarly some fields become Untouchable - if I actually invented Cold Fusion right now it'd be horribly hard to convince anyone of it, because no "respectable" scientist would look at my evidence or admit it to anyone else if they did.

There is definitely a tendancy in fringe science to overlook the evidence that invalidates your theory, which is bad - but no more bad than conventional science tending to overlook the evidence, however spotty, that seems to support the weird theories.

I think both parts are necessary - just as in society, the weird people need to have a wall of authority to push against, and the wall people need to have people outside pushing on them.
 
 
—| x |—
06:22 / 26.04.03
…people see science as nothing more than the creation of metaphors. Any metaphor is as good as any other, therefore it is biased of science to reject any viewpoint.

Lurid, I think you are misrepresenting the “science as metaphor” viewpoint, or at least seeing only a side of it. If we start with all language being metaphorical, and in this include the language of science, then I do not see how it follows from this start to the position that “any metaphor is as good as any other.” I mean, there could still be “bad” metaphors or metaphors which convey information poorly, and there could be “good” metaphors or metaphors which are rich with information. So why do you feel that “science as metaphor” (necessarily?) leads to all metaphors being of equal “value”?

Moreover, even if the language of science “…is about metaphors” (as you say over here), it doesn’t follow that this would “…fail to distinguish it from many other disciplines.” We recognize that there is a domain of discourse to science and not all metaphors—symbols, words, and sentences—will be interpreted within this domain, some metaphors will be fuzzy, and others will be outside of it entirely. So it wouldn’t be that science was biased to reject any viewpoint, but more that its interpretive domain isn’t able to comprehend just any viewpoint; in other words, science is at least differentiated from other disciplines by virtue of the metaphors it deals with.

What does ‘science’ mean anyway? Are we to take it as a systematized knowledge stemming from observation and experiment? Isn’t systematized knowledge a structure of facts, methods, and principles? Is this perhaps what Quantum means by “establishment science”?

If this is our view of science, then it seems there are at least two things that stem from this. First, it appears that science would be both “conservative” in some sense and “based on constant change” in another sense. It would be conservative in so far as it is systematized knowledge, due to the limitations and constraints of that system. Its metaphors would mostly unfold (or derive) from its previous metaphors in a consistent and methodical manner. Occasionally, there is some sort of “revolution” which alters some of the key metaphors, but it will proceed from such an alteration in much the same manner as before. So the change that science undergoes appears to be largely transformations which are more or less determined by what is “established.” On the other hand, some changes will come from outside “conservative” science insofar as they might alter key metaphors in a manner that was not derived from the current structure of method and fact.

Second, whether or not we assume the “science as metaphor” view, if we take science as a structure of knowledge, then isn’t this less about what “weird” science is, but more about what counts as falling within the domain of science? What are the “boundaries” of science defined by? Who or what decides what is science and what isn’t? Is this perhaps part of what pants brigade was getting at?

Anyway, is the statement, “Science thinks it can explain everything, what it can't explain doesn't exist” “disinformation” (isn’t any statement?)? Well, in at least one sense it appears to be: I don’t think that scientists believe that they can explain everything; perhaps some hope to, but it seems to me that science is more concerned about explaining what it can explain. On the other hand, if what counts as science is unable to “see” that there’s something to investigate, then it is often the case, perhaps, that “what it can’t explain [because it is unable to “see” such and such a phenomena] doesn’t exist.” It seems less about disinformation and more about limited or mistaken information.
 
 
Lurid Archive
08:25 / 26.04.03
So why do you feel that “science as metaphor” (necessarily?) leads to all metaphors being of equal “value”?

Because the property of being a "good" metaphor or being a "bad" metaphor is a matter of taste. Whereas the fact that planes fly is not. To ignore empirical observation as part of science is to essentially see the discipline as invalid on its own terms.

It is true that science is only concerned with certain things - a domain of discourse - but there are potentially many ways in which to talk about those things. Science chooses a particular way. You can call this a choice of metaphor, but I fail to see how this is an illuminating description rather than an ideologically driven one. In the same way that it would be unhelpful to distinguish between a plumber and a poet by their range of metphors.

Is this perhaps what Quantum means by “establishment science”?

Doubtful. The tone suggests an inflexible edifice as part of the definition. But perhaps it is what was meant.

It would be conservative in so far as it is systematized knowledge, due to the limitations and constraints of that system

This is a rather meaningless use of the word "conservative". What you are saying is that to have any viewpoint is to be conservative. This makes everyone conservative.

So the change that science undergoes appears to be largely transformations which are more or less determined by what is “established.”

I think you are begging the question. You are assuming that discovery can only be revolutionary when it is external. I don't believe that. I suppose it depends what you mean by "determined". Predictable, failing to contradict previous theories? In which case it is clearly wrong.

On the other hand, some changes will come from outside “conservative” science insofar as they might alter key metaphors in a manner that was not derived from the current structure of method and fact.

Again, as far as I unsderstand what you are saying, this is wrong. There are times where it is accurate, of course, but again "conservative" is being used oddly. Is a poet "conservative" by not fixing pipes? I think by "key metaphors" you mean something akin to paradigms? The current structure of method of course undergoes refinement all the time but it seems we are close to using the definition of science against it.

What are the “boundaries” of science defined by? Who or what decides what is science and what isn’t?

I think this is a good and difficult question. One point I'd make is that most scientists believe some kind of evidence and some kind of falsifiability is required. This seems central and is not always accepted by those on the outside.

but it seems to me that science is more concerned about explaining what it can explain.

I think that is fair, but close to tautology.

On the other hand, if what counts as science is unable to “see” that there’s something to investigate, then it is often the case, perhaps, that “what it can’t explain [because it is unable to “see” such and such a phenomena] doesn’t exist.

Perhaps. But we could turn this on its head. Alternate theorists have a metaphor that is outside the realm of science and are "unable" to see its invalidity because of tbe "conservative" nature of their methodology. Essentially, you don't seem to accept (or even acknowledge) the validity of trying to distinguish between empirical statements ("metaphors"). As such, there is a danger of applying these arguments assymmetrically.
 
 
—| x |—
06:33 / 27.04.03
Lurid, you are saying that science as metaphor necessarily leads to all metaphors being of equal value “…because the property of being a "good" metaphor or being a "bad" metaphor is a matter of taste.”

But is it really—in every instance? It seems to me that at least some metaphors are able to convey more useful information than others: especially if the particular metaphor occurs within the interpretive domain of a structure of knowledge, is sensible and made sense of, by its relation to other metaphors in that same structure. Thus, there seems to be a quasi-quantitative value that any metaphor has in virtue of its relation to an interpretive structure that doesn’t seem to be a mere “matter of taste.” It could possibly be measured by its degree of relevance and sense with respect to an interpretive structure.

I don’t understand why you are bringing in the “fact that planes fly.” We all see that, I think, so I don’t see this as an issue. Are you saying that it is a scientific fact that planes fly? Or are you saying something else? Please elaborate.

It is true that science is only concerned with certain things - a domain of discourse - but there are potentially many ways in which to talk about those things. Science chooses a particular way.

Sure, nobody is disputing this. But the point is, as you say, that science chooses a particular way to talk about the things that it is concerned with. What about the things that it is not concerned with? How does science deal with metaphors which reference things outside its domain?

You can call this a choice of metaphor, but I fail to see how this is an illuminating description rather than an ideologically driven one. In the same way that it would be unhelpful to distinguish between a plumber and a poet by their range of metphors.

It can be an illuminating distinction insofar as it falls within the view of language as metaphor: it provides a distinction in that framework. You reject the framework, so is it any wonder you see it as unhelpful?! In other words, it is helpful as part of an “ideology,” perhaps in the same way that the distinction between a proton and an electron is useful as part of an “ideology.” So, with respect to language as metaphor, it might be helpful, if one wished to “distinguish between a plumber and a poet,” by examining the range, and perhaps function or purpose, of their metaphors. Like I said before, to address your point that if taking the language of science to be metaphorical, then we cannot distinguish it from other disciplines, “science is at least differentiated from other disciplines by virtue of the metaphors it deals with.”

What you are saying is that to have any viewpoint is to be conservative. This makes everyone conservative.

Certainly, if we want to go to the extreme. To hold any viewpoint we seem conservative about something or other. I mean, by following acceptable and established methods to explore the domain of a particular discourse we preserve those methods and the domain. We appear to conserve much of a particular structure of knowledge when we base our investigations and actions upon that knowledge. So, if you want to label everyone as conservative, then go ahead; I would rather say that in relying on a given method to explore a particular domain we are being, in some way, conservative, but not necessarily only conservative.

You are assuming that discovery can only be revolutionary when it is external…I suppose it depends what you mean by "determined". Predictable, failing to contradict previous theories?

No, I am saying that some revolutions come from external sources, while others come from within. By “determined” I mean what is already present in the current data and method, but has not yet been established or comprehended. Science is a series of propositions about stuff. These propositions can be manipulated in conjunction with acceptable methodology and produce what is already implicit in them, but not yet recognized as such: discoveries not necessarily predictable nor failing to contradict previous theories—but possibly some discoveries would fall under one, the other, or both. Put differently, we can see that many of the discoveries within any structure of knowledge occur as a result of what is already implicit in it: as we conserve the structure, our understanding of the implications and limitations of that structure—ideally—undergoes change. Again, there is conservation and motion.

Is a poet "conservative" by not fixing pipes?

No, it would seem that a poet is, in some sense, conservative when writing, for example, in Haiku. Or mimicking the style of so and so. Or perhaps by re-expressing, expanding, and discovering further transformations of a particular pattern of metaphor embedded within a domain of interpretation.

I think by "key metaphors" you mean something akin to paradigms?

Certainly, if you want, but I would also include the individual propositions of a structure of knowledge—the ones that, at a certain time, have a high degree of being sensible in and making sense of the structure in which they occur.

The current structure of method of course undergoes refinement all the time but it seems we are close to using the definition of science against it.

Yes and no. I certainly agree that method undergoes refinement, but I doubt that it is, as you say, all the time. Further, refinement of method still occurs largely within the structure of knowledge: we’ll find better ways to do or comprehend X—better ways to fly planes or understand aerodynamics, for example; however, we still are dealing with a similar or same X over time. But I wouldn’t charge this only to science: it seems to be more connected with the preservation and conservation of any so-called “body of knowledge.”

One point I'd make is that most scientists believe some kind of evidence… is required.

I agree. But arguably this is true of most, if not all, structures of knowledge. What is to count as evidence for or within a structure of knowledge? And by whom is it counted? These questions certainly arise within the asking of “who or what decides what is science and what isn’t?”

As for the requirement of, as you say, “falsifiability,” I think it would be productive if you said a bit more about what this actually is.

This seems central and is not always accepted by those on the outside.

I’d probably agree, depending on what is meant by “falsifiability.” But I do agree to the extent that what is central to science is what is agreed upon by most scientists, but of course this will, in a way, come back around to questions of who counts as a scientist and who doesn’t, and how that is established. I also agree that what is central to science is not always accepted by those outside of science. Granted, what is acceptable to them may or may not be acceptable to science (and if it isn’t then we can also “turn this on its head”—what is acceptable to those outside of science is not always accepted by those within science); regardless, what seems more important is not whether or not “what” is accepted by “whom,” but rather, what are the imports and functions of the metaphors within a structure of knowing. I think it might have been Patricky who had said, “what’s a meta—for?” What are the metaphors within a structure of knowledge accomplishing? What work do they do?

So we agree that “science is more concerned about explaining what it can explain,” and I’d even agree that it is, as you say, “close to tautology.” Again, this seems less a symptom of science and more a symptom of any structure of knowledge.

I’d certainly agree that we can take the view that “alternate theorists” likely employ metaphors that are “outside the realm of science” and so these “theorists” are “unable to see [the] invalidity [of their view] because of the ‘conservative’ nature of their methodology.” It seems to me that this follows from what I’ve been saying: some metaphors will fall outside a given domain of knowledge, as such, these same metaphors are incomprehensible to, or absent from, that domain.

Essentially, you don't seem to accept (or even acknowledge) the validity of trying to distinguish between empirical statements.

I don’t think I’ve said anything about “the validity of trying to distinguish between empirical statements.” I’m not even sure if I know what you mean here! If we take ‘empirical’ to mean relying and/or based upon experiment and/or experience, then I agree that knowledge that does not correspond to, affects or is affected by, experiment and experience is not very important knowledge.
 
 
Quantum
13:25 / 29.04.03
quickie- when I say 'establishment science' I'm talking about mainstream scientific research. By 'mainstream' I mean the majority of research, which is funded by interest groups. Those interest groups encourage research in particular profitable directions (cure for cancer, aids treatments, new chemicals with industrial applications etc) and not in others (weird science, 'pure' research etc)
I'm not hacking off against science ('they're all white coated vivisectionists' is a commonly held view but IMHO stems from ignorance about what science is) but I think the scientific establishment is as different to 'Science' as the political establishment is to 'Politics'.
So in short it's the funding bodies behind the scenes I'm blaming for the conservative view of science. (BTW I sympathise with Lurid's defence of science, but it is a fallback position for a lot of naive rationalist/materialist/literalists- it's that conception of science I have issues with, the Victorian idea that we've almost explained it all, that science is the best paradigm without question and is infallible etc.)
 
 
Lurid Archive
14:48 / 29.04.03
Don't really want to engage in another defence of science, so I won't post anything long in response to el Zilcho beyond saying that most of your comments would apply to knowledge in general rather than science in particular.

Quantum:

BTW I sympathise with Lurid's defence of science, but it is a fallback position for a lot of naive rationalist/materialist/literalists- it's that conception of science I have issues with, the Victorian idea that we've almost explained it all, that science is the best paradigm without question and is infallible etc.)

Agreed, there are those who hold that. Equally, there are those who are anti-science for various reasons. Sometimes because science is the best way of answering certain questions, and the last thing you want is an answer you don't agree with. However, science is not infallible, by any means.
 
 
—| x |—
19:14 / 29.04.03
Don't really want to engage in another defence of science, so I won't post anything long in response to el Zilcho beyond saying that most of your comments would apply to knowledge in general rather than science in particular.

Please, no one’s asking you to engage in “another defense of science.” Why do you feel that this is the issue and who made you science’s defender?

And quite plainly stated in my post many of my comments apply to any particular structure of knowledge.

Lurid, your problem seemed to be with the assumption of viewing the language of science as a structure of metaphors, and I have tried to answer your concerns about that view while showing that science still has its own particular value: there is nothing I’ve said that requires you must “defend science.”

In other words, Lurid, your interpretation about what I’ve put forth is wrong, and your view about “science as metaphor” is wrong.

Again, explaining this idea of, as you say, “falsifiability,” would be valuable to this discussion—can you not at least do that?!
 
 
Lurid Archive
19:46 / 29.04.03
el Zilco: I just meant that I often find myself in these debates, and didn't intend to sound dismissive if thats how it came across. I think there are problems with the science is metaphor line as it seems to me to make it harder to distinguish between action and speech act. Moreover, it makes it much harder to discuss many of the trappings of science like instruments, double blind experiments and falsifiability.

You can call them metaphors, but that seems a contortion. To put it another way, I would distinguish between a plumber and someone who writes fiction about plumbing by saying that one plumbs, the other writes.

This is another reason I bring up planes flying. That in itself may not be a scientific fact. But the theory of aerodynamics and the possibility of mechanical flight are. These are (partly) justified by the observation that planes fly. To ignore this is to ignore the essence of what science is about and it seems to me that dealing solely in metaphors risks that oversight.

Now to falsifiability. It was an idea in the philosophy of science introduced by Karl Popper. The essential idea is that science doesn't prove anything, instead it offers hypotheses and models that have predictive power. To be scientific, they should be falsifiable in the sense that it should be theoretically possible to make an observation or experiment that contradicts these. A theory is then stronger than another if it offers up more potential situations in which it might be falsified, yet remains uncontradicted.

This notion is not without problems, of course, and has many critics. Still, scientists themselves tend to like it.
 
 
Mirror
21:10 / 29.05.03
To bring the discussion back to its roots a bit, I think it's important to look at the origins of "Weird" science, and weird ideas.

In my experience, there are two main varieties of weird ideas - weird ideas that exist as an explanation for some sort of observed phenomenon, and weird ideas that exist because people would really like things to be other than they are. The former pose no real problems to science - they're the bread and butter of exploration and discovery.

The "wishful thinking" sort of ideas, however, typically don't help us understand the world at all. At best, they might give us ideas about questions that we can ask about the observable world; at worst, they serve only to distract our efforts from more promising lines of scientific inquiry. There are limited resources available for investigating phenomenon - it makes sense to pursue those that at least have effects that are reproducible for anyone.
 
  
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