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The New American Century

 
 
Goodness Gracious Meme
16:52 / 01.02.03
apologies if this has been posted before, coudn't find it in a search. delete or move if it's there...

A friend has just directed me to the New American Century site (this from their Statement of Principles):

"aim to make the case and rally support for American global leadership."

"As the 20th century draws to a close, the United States stands as the world's preeminent power. Having led the West to victory in the Cold War, America faces an opportunity and a challenge: Does the United States have the vision to build upon the achievements of past decades? Does the United States have the resolve to shape a new century favorable to American principles and interests?"

"But we cannot safely avoid the responsibilities of global leadership or the costs that are associated with its exercise. America has a vital role in maintaining peace and security in Europe, Asia, and the Middle East.

If we shirk our responsibilities, we invite challenges to our fundamental interests. The history of the 20th century should have taught us that it is important to shape circumstances before crises emerge, and to meet threats before they become dire. The history of this century should have taught us to embrace the cause of American leadership."


"Such a Reaganite policy of military strength and moral clarity may not be fashionable today. But it is necessary if the United States is to build on the successes of this past century and to ensure our security and our greatness in the next."

Check out the signatories...

Some more from another essay, Power and Weakness Robert Kagan. Apologies for the long quotes but this bears highlighting.:

"Today’s transatlantic problem, in short, is not a George Bush problem. It is a power problem. American military strength has produced a propensity to use that strength. Europe’s military weakness has produced a perfectly understandable aversion to the exercise of military power. Indeed, it has produced a powerful European interest in inhabiting a world where strength doesn’t matter, where international law and international institutions predominate, where unilateral action by powerful nations is forbidden, where all nations regardless of their strength have equal rights and are equally protected by commonly agreed-upon international rules of behavior. Europeans have a deep interest in devaluing and eventually eradicating the brutal laws of an anarchic, Hobbesian world where power is the ultimate determinant of national security and success."

"This is no reproach. It is what weaker powers have wanted from time immemorial. It was what Americans wanted in the eighteenth and early nineteenth centuries, when the brutality of a European system of power politics run by the global giants of France, Britain, and Russia left Americans constantly vulnerable to imperial thrashing. It was what the other small powers of Europe wanted in those years, too, only to be sneered at by Bourbon kings and other powerful monarchs, who spoke instead of raison d’état. The great proponent of international law on the high seas in the eighteenth century was the United States; the great opponent was Britain’s navy, the “Mistress of the Seas.” In an anarchic world, small powers always fear they will be victims. Great powers, on the other hand, often fear rules that may constrain them more than they fear the anarchy in which their power brings security and prosperity."

"This natural and historic disagreement between the stronger and the weaker manifests itself in today’s transatlantic dispute over the question of unilateralism. Europeans generally believe their objection to American unilateralism is proof of their greater commitment to certain ideals concerning world order. They are less willing to acknowledge that their hostility to unilateralism is also self-interested. Europeans fear American unilateralism. They fear it perpetuates a Hobbesian world in which they may become increasingly vulnerable. The United States may be a relatively benign hegemon, but insofar as its actions delay the arrival of a world order more conducive to the safety of weaker powers, it is objectively dangerous."


"This is one reason why in recent years a principal objective of European foreign policy has become, as one European observer puts it, the “multilateralising” of the United States.4 It is not that Europeans are teaming up against the American hegemon, as Huntington and many realist theorists would have it, by creating a countervailing power. After all, Europeans are not increasing their power."

"Their tactics, like their goal, are the tactics of the weak. They hope to constrain American power without wielding power themselves. In what may be the ultimate feat of subtlety and indirection, they want to control the behemoth by appealing to its conscience."

Comments? I'll try and come back when I have anything at all to say...
 
 
Goodness Gracious Meme
17:02 / 01.02.03
chopping chunks here and there, but this from the conclusion to the Kagan essay:

"Americans are powerful enough that they need not fear Europeans, even when bearing gifts. Rather than viewing the United States as a Gulliver tied down by Lilliputian threads, American leaders should realize that they are hardly constrained at all, that Europe is not really capable of constraining the United States. If the United States could move past the anxiety engendered by this inaccurate sense of constraint, it could begin to show more understanding for the sensibilities of others, a little generosity of spirit. It could pay its respects to multilateralism and the rule of law and try to build some international political capital for those moments when multilateralism is impossible and unilateral action unavoidable. It could, in short, take more care to show what the founders called a “decent respect for the opinion of mankind.”

And really sorry for the lenghthy quoting, am exhausted but wanted to get this stuff up while I remembered....
 
 
Goodness Gracious Meme
17:44 / 01.02.03
This from a file containing a script from a BBC panorama episode.

NB: THIS TRANSCRIPT WAS TYPED FROM A TRANSCRIPTION UNIT
RECORDING AND NOT COPIED FROM AN ORIGINAL SCRIPT:
BECAUSE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF MIS-HEARING AND THE
DIFFICULTY, IN SOME CASES OF IDENTIFYING INDIVIDUAL
SPEAKERS, THE BBC CANNOT VOUCH FOR ITS ACCURACY.

EXCERPTED FROM:
.......................................................
.................

PANORAMA

THE CASE
AGAINST WAR
RECORDED FROM TRANSMISSION: BBC-1 DATE: 8:12:02
.......................................................

Robert Baer was a top CIA agent, then the FBI investigated him for allegedly trying
to kill Saddam. That would have defied a presidential order on assassinations and
been a potential crime under ‘murder for hire’ laws.

[...]

BRADSHAW: Baer believes war with Saddam is being sold to President Bush by
right-wing hawks, so-called neo-conservatives who started promoting war against
Iraq long before the 11th September last year.

Four years ago a group calling
themselves Project for the New American Century wrote to President Clinton
urging the removal of Saddam Hussein’s regime. Using military action to disarm
him and to protect our vital interests in the Gulf, including oil. Most of those who
signed it now serve the Bush Administration including defence Secretary, Donald
Rumsfeld.

BAER: Today they have the chance to do something about it and they want to
prove themselves right. They say we were right in the 90s and we’re going to show
you today. Just watch.

BRADSHAW: Watch while we…. ?

BAER: (laughs) While we set the place afire.

BRADSHAW: Alarmist? Maybe not. These are the kind of images that make
some of Washington’s neoconservatives hope war against Saddam will destabilise
much of the Middle East. What such American hardliners hope is Saddam’s fall
will be followed by the collapse of what they call other terrorist states, countries
like Iran and Syria which they say are backing terrorists. One neoconservative even
advocated turning the Middle East into a cauldron.

In Washington President Bush
has distanced himself from the more extreme neoconservatives. But they do have
old allies in the Pentagon where the Department of Defence has rebuilt its offices
and is now strengthening its Washington powerbase.
 
 
Goodness Gracious Meme
18:19 / 01.02.03
this is seriously scary... from Hidden Agenda - John Pilger's site

In the Los Angeles Times, the military analyst William Arkin describes a secret army set up by Donald Rumsfeld, similar to those run by Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger and which Congress outlawed. This "super-intelligence support activity" will bring together the "CIA and military covert action, information warfare, and deception". According to a classified document prepared for Rumsfeld, the new organisation, known by its Orwellian moniker as the Proactive Pre-emptive Operations Group, or P2OG, will provoke terrorist attacks which would then require "counter-attack" by the United States on countries "harbouring the terrorists".

In other words, innocent people will be killed by the United States. This is reminiscent of Operation Northwoods, the plan put to President Kennedy by his military chiefs for a phoney terrorist campaign - complete with bombings, hijackings, plane crashes and dead Americans - as justification for an invasion of Cuba. Kennedy rejected it. He was assassinated a few months later. Now Rumsfeld has resurrected Northwoods, but with resources undreamt of in 1963 and with no global rival to invite caution. You have to keep reminding yourself this is not fantasy: that truly dangerous men, such as Perle and Rumsfeld and Cheney, have power. The thread running through their ruminations is the importance of the media: "the prioritised task of bringing on board journalists of repute to accept our position".
 
 
Brigade du jour
20:12 / 01.02.03
Jesus Christ. Just when you think the "World's Only Super-Power"TM can't sink any lower it springs this shit on us. Thank you for bringing this to everyone's attention bengali, it also reminds me I need to get a computer at home so I can get off my lardy ol' arse and research some of this kind of thing for myself.

The United States has no more right than any other country to impose moral leadership on the whole world. Call me an antediluvain pluralist, but it stands to reason that as much as, say, 'President' Bush believes his moral stance is right and good and just and fair, I'm sure Osama bin Laden and Mullah Omar, Fidel Castro and indeed Saddam Hussein believe they all have an equally defensible moral stance. Then again, all of the above are hardly impervious to corruption. Moral stances tend to go out of the window, I suppose, when people are offered huge amounts of cash and favours so long as they toe a certain line.

But when plans like this one surface it just brings it all into ugly, sharp relief and the injustice of it all leaves a lot of people feeling furious and powerless in comparable measures.

Maybe anarchy is the only way, in moral if not practical terms.

Pardon mon spitballing, Barbelith.
 
 
Goodness Gracious Meme
22:13 / 04.02.03
bumping this because I want someone to tell me that I'm incredibly naive for finding this stuff deeply worrying.

But having heard no discussion of this stuff amongst people I know, and more generally in the media, I am concerned.
 
 
bjacques
00:03 / 05.02.03
That signature list is a real rogues' gallery; some names I recognize as rightwing think-tank whores (Heritage Foundation, etc.) influential in the current government. But who needs a secret agenda when the public one is ugly enough? Secret government complicity in WTC and other attacks is not impossible, but unlikely I think. Why risk getting caught in an X-Files caper when people will happily vote for a microphone in every pot and a telescreen on every wall anyway?

I think this sort of stuff is blue-sky thinking, like REX-84, that gets idle consideration but never comes close to implementation. But to put too much stock in it is to give too much credit to the bad guys and paralyze us into inaction. It also denies agency to bad guys not much more powerful than us (think Timothy McVeigh) and, by extension, to us.

I think that manifesto represents a dangerous misreading of the world scene and an overestimation of American power to direct world affairs. It is a multipolar world; even splitting it into a Jihad/McWorld duality leaves out Mafiyas and narcotraficantes. To paraphrase Otto from my favorite movie, "those people are fucking out to lunch."
 
 
grant
16:33 / 05.02.03
It's a right-wing thinktank. This is what they do.
 
 
unheimlich manoeuvre
21:30 / 22.11.04
November 22, 2004 The Guardian

"If the European economies are suffering as a result of the weak dollar, why should the US care? What's happening in the currency markets is simply American unilateralism in a different guise.

...

Washington may have another reason - apart from getting its own back - for allowing the Europeans to suffer. The US is desperate for the Chinese to revalue the yuan, but has so far utterly failed to get Beijing to agree to abandon its dollar peg. The Chinese, for political as well as economic reasons, are determined to resist American pressure.

...

Certainly, all the evidence is that China's central bank is still intervening aggressively to keep its currency stable. Without that action, the dollar's fall in recent days would have been even more rapid.

...

Washington, in other words, is relying on a soft landing for the dollar. History shows, however, that there is a better than even chance of this process ending in a full-scale crisis, as it did in the mid 1980s, when the weakness of the dollar culminated in the stock market crash of 1987. And that, of course, was at a time when the G7 was acting in concert. As Lewis said, the crisis could be triggered by a seemingly minor event, as when the Nigerians precipitated the run on the pound in 1976 by switching into dollars."


Or maybe the oil producers using Petro-Euros rather than Petro-Dollars? The intricacies of the New Great Game are beyond me.
 
 
Aertho
22:09 / 22.11.04
Has everyone seen "What Barry Says"?

http://www.knife-party.net/flash/barry.html


BEAUTIFUL.
 
 
Francine I
22:29 / 22.11.04
PNAC is utterly frightening. It's an odd dynamic in the U.S. regarding this. A lot of the more conservative types believe that reference to these people (also referred to as the neo-conservatives) is essentially conspiracy theory. People are in denial about this. People outside of the U.S. are a lot more willing to consider how real and frightening these people are, in general, I think, because they don't claim to be looking out for their interests. There are other documents. I'll try and drag some up -- there are some that advocate allowing or fabricating a domestic attack on the U.S. to secure support for U.S. wars of aggression abroad. I'm not kidding. Many of these players were in the background during the Reagan administration -- Chomsky talks about that quite a bit when referencing the neo-conservatives.
 
 
We're The Great Old Ones Now
07:23 / 23.11.04
To be fair, a lot of traditional Conservatives refer to this lot as 'the crazies'. And yes, they're a bit scary, and they're in power, which is scarier. Kristol's book on Iraq is a blinder - no mention of U.S. involvement with Saddam Hussein in the seventies & eighties. And there was an interview in one of Pilger's recent documentaries which stops your heart.
 
 
bjacques
13:01 / 23.11.04
Robert Kagan misses the point. Wishful thinking about American generosity (under Bush) aside, Kagan takes a simplistic view about the interests of "strong" versus those of "weak" nations.

European countries understand much better the limits, in scope and duration, of power than the US neocons do. The neocons think teleologically and think we've reached the end condition except for a bit of mopping up (Fukuyama). But the UK, France, Germany (hoo-boy!), Italy (as Rome), Spain and others have had empires. Military advantages come and go; trying to cover all the bases is expensive. Over the centuries, Europeans fought bigger and more destructive wars until they got it through their heads that power is an addictive and expensive drug. The formation of the EU was a deliberate turn away from the temptations of power.

The world's small anough that any two-bit nation can build a nuke, load it on a missile and become a "strong" nation, because missile-defense shields won't be worth a crap anytime soon. By the nuclear standard, Europe isn't weak. France is a nuclear power and if the UK no longer are, they could easily be again. Then there are--ahem--Russia & China. Trailing behind are a handful of nuclearized countries who can ruin an American day or dirty up the local environment.

The dollar isn't holy. Currencies rise and fall according to natural wealth, financial management and belief in their soundness. Roman, Byzantine, Spanish, British, French and German financial empires have risen and fallen.
The dollar still a good investment but only while the US Treasury is the creditor of last resort. But it's been a crappy short-term investment.

If the Chinese devalue their yuan it will be because a strong yuan makes Chinese exports expensive--the Party can deal with any internal problems devaluation causes--not because the US grumbles about it. The US under the sway of the neocons may not give a damn about any garlic-smelling, dentally-chalenged cowards, but the Chinese won't care about the concerns of a bunch of fat, pink crybabies. To employ a few stereotypes.

Can't we all just get along?

The neocons' grand democratic project for the Middle East is bound to fail not because Muslims are allergic to democracy, but because what the neocons are promoting isn't democracy at all, but neoliberal economic policies given a democratic gloss.
 
 
vajramukti
13:25 / 23.11.04
PNAC is a thinly veiled desperation ploy formulated by academic theorists with no actual hands on understanding of the consequences of what they're saying. they're not crazy, just desperate, naive and stupid. they're thinking this is the only way american hyperpower is going to survive peak oil and the fall of the dollar. an americn boot on the neck of the world for another hundred years. piss on these fascists. they're going to a well deserved ashpile in history. hopefully they don't drag us all down with them.
 
 
bjacques
13:50 / 23.11.04
Yup, much more briefly, as they're learning in Iraq and Afghanistan, power isn't everything. Pass me the opium pipe, will you? ;-)
 
 
We're The Great Old Ones Now
15:33 / 23.11.04
So once they're done, what will we be left with? And what will we be trying to make in place of the New Ashpile Century?
 
 
diz
15:44 / 23.11.04
So once they're done, what will we be left with? And what will we be trying to make in place of the New Ashpile Century?

i think these are the central concerns. it may make more sense to build up working alternative communities now, and defend them in the tumult to come, than to try to directly oppose the PNAC psychos, but the key to that is containing the damage they can do in the meantime. i don't know how best to do that, but i'm increasingly convinced that our only real option is to ride out the storm and hope the house is still standing afterwards.

WorldChanging and Cyborg Democracy are good places for me to go when i need to get a good look at people who are pro-actively trying to build a new future.
 
 
Francine I
00:27 / 24.11.04
"To be fair, a lot of traditional Conservatives refer to this lot as 'the crazies'. And yes, they're a bit scary, and they're in power, which is scarier. Kristol's book on Iraq is a blinder - no mention of U.S. involvement with Saddam Hussein in the seventies & eighties. And there was an interview in one of Pilger's recent documentaries which stops your heart."

To add light to your comments, there are statistically few "traditional" conservatives remaining in the U.S. Most of them support a heavy-handed federal government pressing ruthlessly against civil liberties, sporting a heavy-handed foreign policy focused on imperialism. So while most conservatives don't support the neo-conservative goals openly, they lend them tacit support by a.) assuming neo-conservatives and their goals are a matter of fancy and conspiracy theory, and b.) voting for an administration of neo-conservatives espousing and pursuing exactly the goals described by those concerned (while simultaneously dismissing the concerned who are desperately trying to bring the situation to their attention). It matters less what one says and more what one does.
 
 
Regrettable Juvenilia
11:40 / 24.11.04
Word to Frances. Our very own Tony Blair told an interviewer "I never understand what people mean by this neo-con business" relatively recently, which is either monumentally ill-informed or monumentally disingenuous - you have to think it's the latter, really, since it's not like Blair can't pick Rumsfeld out of a line-up.
 
 
We're The Great Old Ones Now
12:36 / 24.11.04
Frances: no argument. It's the wilful ignorance and the readiness to deny flatly truths which are matters of record which absolutely pole-axes me. That's why the Pilger interview is so spooky. Kristol just sits there and denies stuff which is simple historical fact, in much the same way that he avoids mention of Iraq's history in his book. If I seem overly kind to traditional Republicans, it's in the faint hope that they'll turf these fantasists out of office.

Don't tell me. I know: I'm a schmuck. It was only the only straw I could think of at the time.
 
 
vajramukti
13:45 / 24.11.04
the reason the neocons get away with what they do, is that no one in the united states elite community seems to have anything else remotley plausible in terms of a plan to secure america strategic interests. the fact they've allowed this kind of wholesale murder and systematic deception is not proof of them being fantasists, but rather a recognition that no one in the general public should could or even wants to hear the real reasons for it. all they want is buisness as usual, suv's mcdonalds, televised sports teams, reality tv....

I dunno. i cannot even formulate an articulte rebuke for these worthless sons of bitches. I can only find solace in the fact that when they have finally rubbed joe blow's face fully in his own willfull apathy and ignorance that the game will be up. too bad that western civilisation will be on it's last legs by then anyway, and these monsters will have done nothing but secure another handfull of years and trillions of worthless paper dollars at the expense of the poor and the weak, just as they have always done.
 
 
bjacques
15:06 / 24.11.04
Bush isn't helping his millionaire friends by running the dollar into the toilet. How to fight the neocons? Start dumping your spare dollars for Euros or Swiss Francs. It's what the rest of the world will be doing soon anyway.

This raises an interesting point. About the time the price of oil rose to $50 per barrel of NY light crude, the dollar slid from around $1.20 to around $1.25. Does this mean oil prices haven't risen as dramatically in pounds or euros as in dollars?
 
 
Francine I
04:32 / 25.11.04
"Bush isn't helping his millionaire friends by running the dollar into the toilet."

I don't know that Bush is so much trying to run the dollar down so much as he's trying to leverage U.S. power into a new sort of hegemony. And I don't think Bush is alone in that goal. Actually, I don't think Bush so much understands this goal. It's the people that surround him who pursue it so ruthlessly. The U.S. has few if any viable exports and has a difficult time making money outside of military conflict -- hir own or the conflict of others (often enough fomented by the U.S.). Meanwhile, Bush's millionare (read billionare) pals are focused on leveraging their assets internationally (read Iraq and further ME conquests). The fall of the dollar was predicted, wagered upon, and now we're witnessing the end-game scenario.
 
 
bjacques
10:27 / 26.11.04
I still think it will come to nothing. History is full of endgames. Bush's pals, like most policy wonks, consider themselves good students of history--a dangerous combination--and think they've got it all figured out. They haven't. They'll make the same mistakes as their predecessors, but if they're as smart as they say they are, they'll make new ones.

Unless some batshit crazy God-haunted general starts a war in hopes of kicking off Armageddon.
 
  
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