|
|
quote:Originally posted by gentleman loser:
The "consoles will replace PCs any day now (TM)" argument has been shoved down our throats for years but it still hasn't happened. By 2010? Maybe, but I'm not going to junk my PC anytime soon.
Consoles will never be able to beat PCs, untill the two merge.
And I mean merge. The plan is not to replace the PC, but to litterally combine it all into one machine. If you look at the development of consoles, you'll see this happening. The differences between the XBox and a low grade PC are not as much as you might think. Now with an internal harddrive and a broadband connection, it's basically just a matter of upgrading hardware untill there is no difference.
The problem with WebTV, and all the other first generation internet appliances was the the cost of a PC dropped like a fucking rock. When Dell and Gateway got into thier little price war with each other, it forced the price of a PC down to the same level that internet appliances were selling at. Given the choice, people decided to buy a PC. Now you've got Microsoft Sony, and a few other companies trying to basically build a PC that's going to cost between $200-$300. To finance this project, they're releasing it piece by piece. The most logical market for this is the gaming console market, since it's got such a rabid following, that is willing to shell out the money for a new system.
What's currently being envisioned is a box that you plug into your TV. This box will supply your internet connection (your TV replaces your monitor) and allow you to do all your reguliar computer work. It'll also allow you to play video games (there will be no PC/console division, since the two will be combined), play DVDs, download movies/music, and play traditional music media (CDs, etc.)
This has been what's behind things like the merger of AOL and Time Warner. Not to mention the recent purchase by Comcast of @home's cable internet infrastrucure. The media industry sees a merger in the near future where the traditional forms of media (TV, recorded music, internet, etc.) is all given to indviduals via a single appliance.
An analogy would be the cell phone. First you had digital organizers, which kept phone numbers and appointments. Then you saw pagers. Then came cell phones. Next cell phones started to combine with organizers, and store address books. After that cell phones combined with pagers. And now cell phones are fully combining with the new generation of organizers (PDAs) Today you can buy one appliance (a hybrid phone) that allows you to make calls (cell phone) lets you know people are trying to get in touch with you (pagers, through the use of caller ID) allows for two way messaging (two way pagers) keep an address book, calender, and memo pad (organizers) and surf the web and read email (PDAs).
A similiar process will happen with the computer, DVD player, console game system, and home sterio. |
|
|